Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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SXUS43 KTOP 181741
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1241 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013

MVFR STRATUS DECK ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE TO VFR OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO WITH
GRADUAL SFC HEATING. EXPECT VFR STRATOCU THEN REMAINDER OF THE
FCST WITH GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS UNTIL INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN ON TIMING OF TRACK/LOCATION OF CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL ACROSS THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT...BUT WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE...DECIDED TO KEEP AS VCNTY FOR NOW IN THE 06Z-12Z
TIMEFRAME. EITHER WAY...LOOKS LIKE A TEMPORARY CONVECTIVE LULL 12-18Z
SUN BEFORE MORE STRONGER CONVECTION DEVELOPS AGAIN AFT 18Z.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          832 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           6 PM  140/14 MPH
                                     8 PM  140/12 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 627 AM):        200FT  152/08 MPH
                                      400FT  154/15 MPH
                                      600FT  158/19 MPH
                                      800FT  160/20 MPH
                                     1000FT  169/18 MPH
                                     1500FT  178/18 MPH
                                     2000FT  187/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 142/15 MPH
                                       77FT  143/18 MPH
                                      237FT  144/19 MPH
                                      520FT  144/20 MPH
                                      936FT  144/21 MPH
                                     1481FT  144/21 MPH
                                     2142FT  146/21 MPH
                                     2871FT  164/21 MPH
                                     3685FT  229/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 139/15 MPH
                                       74FT  140/19 MPH
                                      238FT  140/21 MPH
                                      519FT  141/22 MPH
                                      938FT  142/23 MPH
                                     1486FT  143/24 MPH
                                     2147FT  143/24 MPH
                                     2884FT  153/24 MPH
                                     3700FT  191/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 134/17 MPH
                                       74FT  135/22 MPH
                                      238FT  136/26 MPH
                                      520FT  137/28 MPH
                                      939FT  142/23 MPH
                                     1486FT  143/24 MPH
                                     2147FT  143/24 MPH
                                     2884FT  153/24 MPH
                                     3700FT  191/18 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                6 PM  3385 FT
                                     8 PM  3201 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        606 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  150/13 MPH
                    8 AM  160/15 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$
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