Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 142317 AAA
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
617 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Light rain is possible this evening mainly along and south of the
  I-80 corridor with little to no accumulations expected.

* Quieter weather returns for Friday with temperatures slightly
  cooler temperatures expected through Sunday.

* Warmer and continued dry weather returns for the Monday
  through Wednesday night timeframe with temperatures returning
  to the upper 50s to low 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 327 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

A mostly quiet forecast is in store for north central Nebraska
through the short term. Outside of some light precipitation across
portions of southwest Nebraska due to a weak trough pushing off the
Front Ranges this evening, conditions remain dry and mild.
Temperatures remain above freezing until after sunset at which time
precipitation this evening should be south into Kansas. Therefore
any light shower that develops will remain all rain and any QPF
amounts will be under 0.05 of an inch. Weak warm air advection
returns for Friday with 850 mb temperatures in the 0 to 5 C range.
This combined with mostly sunny skies, will push highs into the 50s
for both Friday and Saturday. Low temperatures remain mild as well
in the mid 20s to mid 30s for both tonight and Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 327 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Quieter and dry weather continues through the middle of next week as
strong upper level ridging slowly returns across the western US and
surface high pressure builds into the central US. Warm air advection
with 850 mb temperatures in the 7 to 15 C range combined with plenty
of sunshine will allow for surface highs to easily rise back into
the upper 50s to low 60s through the extended period. The exception
will be on Sunday as an upper level trough pushes across eastern
Nebraska. No precipitation is expected in north central Nebraska,
but some cooler temperatures in the mid 40s to low 50s may be
observed. The next chance of some precipitation arrives next
Thursday as a trough pushes through the central US. Confidence in
timing, locations, and amounts are still very low and therefore,
only a brief mention has been included in the forecast at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 617 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Sporadic MVFR ceilings are underway across parts of wrn
Nebraska this evening and this flight concern is expected to
dissipate by 03z.

A second area of MVFR ceilings is underway across ND and parts
of nwrn SD. The models show this flight concern shifting off to
the east and remaining north of Nebraska tonight but satellite
suggests it is moving south toward Nebraska. The low clouds will
probably dissipate after sunset but there is a chance, about 20
percent, MVFR ceilings will return to nrn Nebraska late this
evening and overnight.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...CDC


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