Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 241805

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
105 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today)
Issued at 321 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

Surface high pressure over the northern into central plains early
this morning. Scattered cirrus moving east across western Nebraska.
Removed patchy fog from north central zones after sunrise with dew
point spreads 3F to 4F over the surrounding area. High pressure
will be recirculating cooler air from the east northeast through
the day with highs in the lower 60s north central to the low 70s
over the panhandle and southwest Nebraska. Winds will shift to the
southeast over the west late this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 321 AM CDT Mon
Oct 24 2016

Appears to be a decent set up for patchy fog late tonight into
Tuesday morning as gulf moisture increases on southerly low level
flow. Also expecting stratus to develop/spread northward into the
region after midnight tonight. This may be slow to burn off across
southwest into central Nebraska Tuesday morning. Mild tonight with
southerly flow and increasing moisture (lows in the 40s). A
shortwave and associated Pacific cold front will cross the area
Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. Limited instability and the
increase in moisture could yield a few showers or weak
thunderstorms across eastern portions of north central Nebraska
Tuesday afternoon and evening, but the better chances look to be
across eastern Nebraska.

Upper level ridging will then dominate the weather for the end of
the week into the weekend. Another weak disturbance and Pacific
cold front will cross the area Friday. Little moisture available
for this system to work with, and a dry frontal passage is
expected. Ahead of the system Thursday, a plume of very warm air
aloft will spread east, and highs could reach 80 degrees or better
across western Nebraska. Friday will be a few degrees cooler, but
still expecting 70s. Some weak cold air advection Friday night
will cool temperatures a little further for Saturday, but still
above normal for this time of year, with highs ranging from 60
degrees in O`Neill to 70 degrees in Ogallala. Warmer again Sunday
as more warm air spreads into the area from the southwest.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

Main aviation concern over the next day will be the potential for
fog development across the region. A weak shortwave trough moves
across central Nebraska leading to low stratus and fog development
across southern Nebraska. Fog should remain south of KVTN and only
affect KLBF. With light winds and plenty of low level moisture,
visibilities could drop to near a half mile at KLBF between 7am and
10am. Fog will struggle to dissipate and expecting patchy fog/very
low stratus (under 500 feet) through the early afternoon hours at




LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...Kulik is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.