Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 050940
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
340 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

A SURGE OF WARMER AIR SHOULD MOVE OFF THE HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTN
AND SWEEP EAST TO NEAR HIGHWAY 183 BY LATE AFTN. THE RAP
SUGGESTED HIGHS IN THE 40S ACROSS WRN NEB. 30S TO NEAR 40 ARE
EXPECTED EAST OF THE WARM SURGE.

THIS WARM SURGE IS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE
ACROSS MT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDWEST TONIGHT. AS THIS
HAPPENS...A BATCH OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE ACROSS
THE FCST AREA WITH SOME ADDITIONAL WARMING IN THE LOWER LEVELS
AND AN INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS BELOW 700 MB. THE RESULT IS THAT
LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD ONLY FALL INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THE WARM UP CONTINUES FOR FRIDAY. RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST
COAST AND HEIGHTS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
HAVE GENERALLY SIDED WITH THE WARM SIDE OF GUIDANCE AS SNOW PACK
IS AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR NW ZONE...WHICH SHOULD
BE MELTED TODAY OR EARLY FRIDAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON FRIDAY SHOULD
PUSH /FOR MOST AREAS/ INTO THE 50S...MAYBE 60 ACROSS SW NEB. THE
NORTHWEST WAS HELD IN THE UPPER 40S DUE TO THE SNOW PACK...WHICH
MAY BE TOO COOL.

SATURDAY CONTINUES MILD TEMPS WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO AROUND
60...IN THE SW. A WEAK PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASE
OF CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. TEMPS DROP OFF SLIGHTLY BEHIND THE
FRONT...HOWEVER THEY BEGIN TO RISE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN HIGHS ON SUNDAY FAIRLY CLOSE TO TO SATURDAY.
LITTLE MOISTURE WITH THE PASSAGE AND ONLY AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

WARM AIR BUILDS TO START THE WEEK. HIGHS INTO THE 60S AND WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A 70 DEGREE HIGH. BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF
NEXT WEEK...MODELS STRAY A PART. THE GFS BRINGS AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE PLAINS WITH TEMPS TO CRASH. THE EC CONTINUES
THE MILD TEMPS AND KEEPS THE COLD AIR TO THE NORTH AND EAST.
FORECAST WILL TREND TO CLIMO AND WAIT FOR BETTER AGREEMENT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WITH LIGHT WESTERLY OR SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS AT 10 KTS OR LESS. SOME HIGH CLOUDS AROUND 25000 FT AGL WILL
PUSH INTO WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED IN COVERAGE.


&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDC
LONG TERM...MASEK
AVIATION...CLB





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