Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 300446
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1146 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

STRONG RIDGE TO THE WEST AND DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EAST WITH THE
NORTHERN PLAINS IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW. SURFACE COOL FRONT ALONG
THE GULF COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY. A
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH AND WEAKEN THE UPPER RIDGE OVERNIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS POISED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST ON
TUESDAY THAT WILL MARK A TRANSITION FROM NEAR NORMAL TO DOWNRIGHT
HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE SOUTHWEST. SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL SPREAD
SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY THAT MAY SLOW THE MERCURY RISE INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BY EVENING...
OTHERWISE DRY ACROSS THE WEST. TONIGHT LOWS WILL FALL MAINLY INTO
THE 60S. THEN HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 80S
OVER FAR NORTH CENTRAL TO THE UPPER 90S EXTREME SOUTHWEST.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN MID AND LONG TERM SOLUTIONS. MODELS
CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN RIDGE TO THE WEST WITH SYSTEM MOVING INTO
THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY. TWO AREAS OF PRECIPITATION WITH
TRW FIRING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE AND MOVING INTO THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND WAVE DROPPING DOWN IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT MAINLY AFFECTING THE NORTH CENTRAL ZONES THROUGH THE OVER
NIGHT. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP BOUNDARY MIXED OVER NIGHT AND
TEMPERATURES SOME WHAT WARMER FOR LOWS. PRECIPITATION TO END OVER
NORTH CENTRAL ZONES ONEILL THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S OVER MOST OF WESTERN NEBRASKA WITH LOW
90S OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. WEDNESDAY NIGHT BOUNDARIES TO
THE WEST SOUTH AND FAR EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA AS A STRONG WAVE
DROPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. HAVE CARRIED SCHC POPS ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA. THE STRONGER UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NEBRASKA THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH SOME MOISTURE
TRANSPORT NORTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY AND
CONVECTION TO COMMENCE MAINLY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER POPS OVER THE
EAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL ZONES. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SHOWERS ENDING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT. A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY ALONG THE KANSAS NEBRASKA BORDER WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THIS MAY BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS THE BOUNDARY
SHIFTS NORTH AND SOUTH. BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN TO
THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY AS A STRONGER COOL FRONT MOVES ONTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. HIGHS IN THE 80S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND 90S
RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1146 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

FOR THE KLBF TERMINAL...EXPECT CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH
INCREASING HIGH CLOUD COVER ON TUESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL THREAT
FOR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY. WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO
BE SPARSE...WILL HANDLE STORMS WITH A VCTS. FOR THE KVTN
TERMINAL...EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE TUESDAY MORNING WITH A THREAT
FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM 21Z TUESDAY THROUGH 01Z WEDNESDAY. COVERAGE
WILL BE SCATTERED AT BEST AND WILL BE HANDLED WITH A PROB30 GROUP.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

THE SOUTH PLATTE AND PLATTE RIVERS CONTINUES TO SHOW GAGE READINGS
ON THE FALL. ON THE NORTH PLATTE IRRIGATION RELEASES WILL WHERE
FORECASTS ARE FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER AT NORTH PLATTE TO REMAIN
BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 6 FEET. FOR THE LATEST FLOOD PRODUCTS...SEE
THE CURRENT CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS ONLINE AT
WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LBF

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...POWER
SHORT TERM...KECK
LONG TERM...POWER
AVIATION...CLB
HYDROLOGY...KECK






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