Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 200450

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1150 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Issued at 340 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

250mb jet lies from the Pacific Northwest to Hudson Bay. At H5
closed low over the northeast Pacific well offshore of the Pacific
Northwest. Numerous waves moving over northern Canada lowering
heights into the northern plains. Closed low over Long Island.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Models in fair agreement in the near and mid term and begin to
struggle towards the latter portion of the forecast. Warm front
and trough axis has moved east of the forecast area this
afternoon. Cool front trails in southern South Dakota. Mixed out
to 89f a new record high for North Platte. Continue red flag
warning. Modified airmass will bring low temperatures into the
upper 20s to upper 30s for overnight lows. Front to come through
dry tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Recyling cooler air from the northeast on Tuesday with
Temperatures some 15F to 25F lower than highs today. Cooler air to
move into the forecast area Tuesday as a secondary Cold front
moves into western Nebraska with chances for rainshowers and
changing or mixing with snow Tuesday night into Wednesday and then
changing back to rainshowers through the day time hours. Have
introduced some IP early Wednesday morning with the transition
area. This will be a short lived shot of cooler air as the upper
ridge rebounds through the northern Rockies Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Highs on Wednesday in the 40s and 50s. Chances of
precipitation continue Wednesday night into Thursday as system
moves across Kansas with a chance of thunderstorms retained over
southwest Nebraska Thursday afternoon and isolad chances Thursday
night. Have highs in the 50s and 60s on Friday with showers ending
but may have to lower temperatures in later forecasts as large
upper low moves out onto the central plains. Temperatures rebound
into the 60s through the weekend in advance of next system moving
across the west.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

VFR conditions the next 24 hours. Northeasterly winds 5 to 10 kts
overnight into Monday morning become easterly Monday afternoon
from 5 to 15 kts. Broken to scattered high cloudiness will persist
overnight and Mondday, with broken mid clouds moving in Monday


Issued at 800 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

The red flag warning which was in effect has been allowed to
expire. RH has improved to above 25 percent, and will quickly
improve overnight. Winds have also diminish to 15 mph or less.


Issued at 340 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Broke the record at North Platte with a high of 90F.


    Normal high 50
    Normal low 24
    Record high 85 set in 2004
    Record low -11 set in 1965

North Platte

    Normal high 54
    Normal low 24
    Record high 86 set in 2004
    Record low -6 set in 1965




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