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000
FNUS73 KGRB 252156
FWSGRB

Spot Forecast for 233 Oak Understory...BIA
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
456 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Hudson Bay high pressure will keep the region dry
tonight, and through much of the day tomorrow. Rain with the
next system is currently expected to arrive in the burn area
after 4 pm Friday. Prior to that, relative humidity should drop
to near 30 percent. Southeast winds will be on the increase,
with gusts to around 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected through the
weekend, with potential for locally heavy rainfall.

The HYSPLIT run will be emailed in 15 minutes.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
                    Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........30 to 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29700 knot-ft) at ignition (9 am)
                    increasing to excellent (84500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  65  69  73  77  80  82  85  90
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  51  54  56  58  58  58  58  57
RH..............53  42  39  36  33  35  36  39  43
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  14  14  14  15  15  16  17  16
20 FT wind gust.20  22  22  22  22  23  25  26  28
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 2.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.20  23  24  25  25  28  28  30  26
SDspl kt-ft/100030  48  62  68  70  75  74  85  65

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers through
                    the night. Chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 17 with gusts to 27 mph
                    in the evening, decreasing to 8 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to 18 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (55600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95  100 100 99  98  98  99  99  98  97  96  96
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Temp............55  53  52  50  51  50  50  50  51  51  52  53
RH..............48  56  64  74  74  83  86  89  89  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  14  14  13  12  10  9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.29  28  25  24  23  23  22  22  20  18  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 M   1.1 M   M   0.7 M
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  M   SE  M   M   S   M
Transp wind spd.25  21  21  20  21  20  M   14  M   M   10  M
SDspl kt-ft/100056  28  27  25  25  24  M   13  M   M   6   M

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 22
                    mph shifting to the southwest 15 to 20 mph with
                    gusts to 25 to 30 mph late in the morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest
                    23 to 28 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (94500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and early afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  90  88  86  84  82  81  79  72  64  57  60
Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............54  56  59  62  64  66  68  70  72  73  73  73
RH..............96  96  93  90  87  81  76  68  64  59  59  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  13  14  15  17  18  18  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.18  20  22  23  25  26  28  30  30  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...M   1.0 M   M   1.7 M   M   2.5 M   M   3.9 M
Transp wind dir.M   S   M   M   S   M   M   SW  M   M   SW  M
Transp wind spd.M   14  M   M   20  M   M   23  M   M   28  M
SDspl kt-ft/1000M   11  M   M   29  M   M   50  M   M   95  M

$$
Forecaster...Kieckbusch
Requested by...Curtis Wayka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412501.0/GRB
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL curtisw@mtewood.com