Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
000
FNUS71 KAKQ 161123
FWSAKQ
Spot Forecast for Kings...Maryland Forests service
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
723 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies are expected today with good mixing. Minimum RH
values will be around 30 percent this afternoon with northeast
winds becoming southeast then south. Isolated showers are possible
Wednesday before a stronger cold front crosses the area towards the
end of the week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
southeast around 5 mph early in the afternoon,
then becoming light early in the afternoon
becoming south 5 to 7 mph late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 14 mph shifting to the west
around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (28400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................15 to 41.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9 8 6 5 7 9 11 11 12 12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............59 62 63 66 68 70 71 71 73 71
RH..............57 48 41 34 32 31 30 31 30 32
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE E E SE S S S SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 5 5 4 5 6 7
20 FT wind gust.11 9 11 11 8 8 6 8 11 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.8 4.2 3.6 3.0
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE N N NW W W
Transp wind spd.14 13 12 10 9 7 6 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
ADI.............15 27 35 40 41 38 34 26 20 17
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 18 24 28 28 26 24 18 14 12
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south 2 to
6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 13.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14 16 19 22 25 28 38 48 57 60 63 66
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
Temp............70 68 64 62 59 58 57 56 55 55 54 53
RH..............35 37 43 44 49 49 51 53 55 57 61 66
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.11 11 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W SW S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 3 2 2
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
ADI.............13 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1
Haines index....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning, then chance
of rain showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph early
in the morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 8 mph increasing to 13 to 15 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (22500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 33.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........70 77 86 92 96 94
Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 30 30 30 30
Temp............52 54 60 65 68 70
RH..............74 80 78 70 65 61
20 ft wind......SE 4 SE 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8
20 ft wind gust.6 8 11 12 13 14
Mix hgt (ft)....400 600 1300 1700 2000 1600
Transport wind..S 2 SE 6 S 13 S 15 SE 13 SE 13
LVORI...........3 4 3 3 3 2
ADI.............2 4 20 33 31 25
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 3 13 23 22 17
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
$$
Forecaster...ROGERS
Requested by...Gilbert Wagner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411081.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Gilbert.wgner@maryland.gov