Text Products for FWS Issued by APX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
FNUS73 KAPX 151126
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Joes opening units 1-3...MIDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
726 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and breezy this afternoon with temperatures likely warming
into the low 60s. Min humidities should remain in the low 30s this
afternoon as winds are northwesterly around 10 mph with gusts
around 15 to just under 20 mph in unsheltered areas. Very good
vent rates this afternoon. Healthy overnight recoveries and light
winds tonight. Winds turn east Tuesday and will remain light to
breezy through the mid/late afternoon hours. Min humidities will
drop into the high 20s. Winds will start to strengthen Tuesday
evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........31 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 22 mph.
Mixing height.......4500-6100 ft AGL.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Ventilation index...Good (780.0-1270.0) increasing to
                    very good (1206.0) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  25  25  9   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  57  57  59  61  57
RH..............47  43  39  36  31  38
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..8    8  10  11  11  10
20 ft wind gust.13  15  15  16  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 5.5 6.0 6.1 5.9 5.8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  20  21  21  22  21
Vrate kt-ft.....780 10761248127012961206
Ventrate Cat....GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........89 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph decreasing to 6 to 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Ventilation index...Good (987.0) decreasing to poor
                    (19.0-434.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   7   19  8   7   4   3   3   4   3   3   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  55  50  47  43  41  39  37  35  33  32  31
RH..............38  40  46  51  62  67  67  72  78  85  88  88
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..13  13  13  8   8   8   6   6   6   2   2   2
20 ft wind gust.15  11  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  15  13  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7   6
Vrate kt-ft.....987 434 191 87  57  57  41  35  25  25  24  19
Ventrate Cat....GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........28 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the east 8 to
                    17 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Ventilation index...Poor (15.0-453.0) increasing to fair
                    (517.0) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........12     23     48     58     51     58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............32     33     46     54     58     60
RH..............85     84     53     40     31     28
20 ft wind dir..N      N      E      E      E      E
20 ft wind spd..2      2      7      9      9      10
20 ft wind gust.0      0      0      12     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    1400   3000   3600   3400
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Transport wind..N 7    NE 6   E 9    E 9    E 10   E 15
Vrate kt-ft.....24     21     132    280    376    517
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR

$$
Forecaster...JPB
Requested by...Jeff Vasher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410811.0/APX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
