Text Products for FWS Issued by EAX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS73 KEAX 101155
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for DURA: North 600...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
655 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

At the time of ignition winds will be out of the WNW between 5 to
10 mph however by 2pm winds are expected to shift to the NNW while
remaining between 5 to 10 mph. After 6pm winds will become light
and variable. Relative humidity values will be near 50% at
ignition time but will drop into the 30 to 35 percent range by
early afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds around 6 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph shifting to the north 6 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  55  58  59  60  61  65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  64  66  68  68  68  69
RH..............48  45  38  34  33  33  32
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   12  12  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 4.1 5.6 7.0 8.0 8.6 8.3
Transp wind dir.W   NW  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   8   9   9   10
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................5 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 6 to 14 mph overnight, then
                    increasing to 17 to 18 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the east 6 to
                    8 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northwest 6 to 9 mph overnight increasing
                    to 17 to 21 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72  76  76  76  76  75  75  82  71  57  45  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  66  63  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  50  48
RH..............34  40  43  49  53  57  59  59  61  61  63  68
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   5   6   6   7   12  14  17  18
20 FT wind gust.10  9   8   8   7   7   9   10  17  21  25  26
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   NE  E   E   E   E   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   7   8   7   6   6   6   9   17  20  21  21
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning. Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 18 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph increasing to 36 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 30 mph increasing to 32 to 36
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47  43  39  54  58  58  47  38  33  28  25  23
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............48  46  48  49  53  56  58  59  60  60  61  60
RH..............65  73  68  71  64  59  54  49  44  42  38  36
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..18  18  21  22  22  22  22  23  24  24  24  23
20 FT wind gust.26  28  30  32  33  31  32  35  36  36  36  35
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.1 4.1 5.4 6.5 7.6 8.2 8.0 6.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  22  28  30  32  32  32  33  35  36  36  33
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...WFO EAX
Requested by...Ryan Gauger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410203.0/EAX
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rgauger@tnc.org
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
