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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 221953
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
RHs of 15 to 25 pct recovering after sunset although winds
continuing at 15-25 mph for much of the night. Showers arriving
later tonight, with additional showers and a few thunderstorms
possible on Tuesday. Another installment of cold and dry air
arrives later Tuesday into Wednesday and a widespread freeze is
expected on Wednesday night.
MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 PM until 1 AM, then rain
showers until 3 AM, then a chance of rain
showers until 7 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....44-49.
24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.15 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2 PM until 5 PM. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after 2 PM. Rain showers after 5
PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent near Lake Michigan and 33-38
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 27
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1600-2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 5700-6200 ft AGL increasing to
8400-8900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1610 (excellent) increasing to 2340 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....25-30.
24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-38 percent near Lake Michigan and 20-25
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 27
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 AM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 1 AM until 3 AM, then rain showers likely
until 5 AM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....44-49.
24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-350 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 2 PM until 5 PM. Chance of
thunderstorms after 2 PM. Rain showers likely
after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7000-7500 ft AGL increasing to 9300-9800 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1750 (excellent) increasing to 2560 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....24-29.
24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 PM until 3 AM, then rain
showers likely until 4 AM, then a chance of
rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....45-50.
24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
around 32 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 11 AM until 5 PM, then rain
showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to
around 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2800-3300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-840 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely until 11 PM, then a chance of rain
showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....31-36.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1 AM until 4 AM, then rain
showers likely until 5 AM, then a chance of
rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 25
mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....180-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2 PM until 5 PM, then rain
showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to
around 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL increasing to 6000-6500 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1050-1560 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.34 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....30-35.
24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 14 mph shifting to the north
around 13 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph shifting to the north
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....440-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
around 28 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 5 PM, then rain showers likely
and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to
around 31 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....970-990 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.17 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 11 PM, then a chance of rain
showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 14 mph shifting to the
northwest around 13 mph overnight. Gusts up to
24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph shifting to the northwest
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....330-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.22 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 PM, then
sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-650 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. East winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 6 to
11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds
8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Warmer, breezy. Cloudy with showers. Lows in the mid
50s. South winds 19 to 24 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Showers until midday, then a
chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 21 to 26 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then
a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.
$$
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- Louisville, KY Weather Forecast Office
- 6201 Theiler Lane
- Louisville, KY 40229-1476
- 502-969-8842
- Page Author: LMK Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-lmk.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC