Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

000
FNUS72 KJAX 231922
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNNS CREEK B1A...FL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
322 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE INLAND. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH HAS PROMPTED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE SUWANNEE VALLEY FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH DISPERSIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY DUE TO MIXING...STRONG TRANSPORT
WINDS...AND WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS
THAN 15 MPH ACROSS THE INLAND AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT WILL BE
15 TO 20 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE COAST ON SATURDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FROM OCALA TO
GAINESVILLE. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AN ISSUE THIS WEEKEND.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 91.
RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-2900
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 78 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...
                    INCREASING TO 98 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........19     15     16     19     21     23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     70     82     88     91     91
RH..............94     89     59     43     33     33
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 5    NW 7   NW 10  NW 13  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     20     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1300   2900   4500   6100   6100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    W 10   W 15   NW 20  NW 22  NW 21
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.11     18     55     78     100    95
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...JASON DEPUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130524.DUNNS.01/JAX