Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 142150
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
550 PM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 EDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. NEAR CRITICAL RH LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN UNDER 15 MPH. RETURN
FLOW WILL BRING HIGHER RH VALUES LATER IN THE WEEK. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL COME EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG IS NOT EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FOR LATE TONIGHT...MAXIMUM LVORI VALUES AROUND 6 TO 8 ARE EXPECTED
AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 2 TO 3. SEE THE TABLES
BELOW FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON 2 HOURLY FORECAST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-2000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      3      2      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     69     66     64     62     60
RH..............46     58     69     74     79     86
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 8    SE 5   S 5    S 3    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4900   3000   2200   1700   1000   700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8    E 8    E 8    SE 8   SE 8   S 7
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      4      6
DISPERSION INDX.34     6      5      6      5      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      2      5      10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     60     73     79     79     80
RH..............86     87     58     45     37     40
20 FT WIND......S 2    SW 2   S 3    S 7    SE 10  SE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      10     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....500    800    2900   4400   5400   4900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5    SW 5   N 5    NE 6   E 7    SE 8
LVORI...........6      6      2      1      2      1
DISPERSION INDX.3      3      18     31     30     35

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...LT  J  ASBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.GUANA.02/JAX




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