Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
000
FXUS63 KLBF 102013
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
313 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Red Flag Warning in effect Thursday from noon to 8 PM CDT for
areas near and east of Highway 83.
- Warm with temperatures rising well above seasonal normals
Friday through Monday. Potential for readings into the 80s
Saturday and Sunday.
- Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions Friday
through Sunday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 312 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024
Tonight, skies will become mostly clear as northwest winds
diminish. Lows will be coldest across the west from 25 to 30, to
the low to mid 30s east.
Thursday, an upper trough axis will move into Minnesota and Iowa
with northwest flow across western Nebraska. Another day of
breezy to windy conditions. Highs will be cooler in the upper
50s to around 60. Due to the combination of low humidity and
northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph, a Red Flag
Warning has been issued for areas near and east of Highway 83.
Thursday night, clear with northwest winds becoming light south
to southwest overnight. Lows near 30.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 312 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024
Ensemble guidance remains in good agreement and there has been
little change in trends over the last several days. A ridge will
strengthen over the western US, then move through the Rockies
and into the Plains by the weekend. This will bring us dry
conditions with a strong warmup Friday through Monday. High
temperatures by Friday rise into the 70s, followed by fairly
widespread readings into the 80s Saturday and Sunday. The
combination of temperatures well above normal, dry weather, and
breezy winds will lead to the potential for near critical
conditions.
By Monday a large closed low will move out of the southwestern
US and into the southern Rockies. This will push the warm upper
ridge axis to our east and bring an increasing chance for
showers and thunderstorms from Sunday night and into the first
part of next week. There will be a convective nature to the
precipitation and much will depend on exactly where the center
of the low tracks, though specifics in the track are uncertain
at this time. The main upper trough is forecast to move in on
Wednesday. Expect the forecast regarding precipitation
potential Monday through Wednesday of next week to change in the
days ahead.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024
VFR conditions are expected through the period. Main aviation
concern will be strong synoptic winds developing this afternoon
and increasing this evening behind a frontal passage. Gusts
around 35 knots are possible this evening through early morning
Thursday.
Secondary concern will be convective showers leading to sporadic
wind gusts. At this time, coverage should remain isolated and
therefore may miss either terminal completely. Will continue to
monitor and amend as necessary. Should a shower impact a
terminal, gusts up to 45 knots cannot be ruled out.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 312 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024
On Thursday, northwest winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph are
expected near and east of Highway 83. Humidity will also be dropping with
minimum values generally 15 to 20 percent. The combination of low humidity
and gusty northwest winds will support critical fire weather conditions.
A Red Flag Warning has been issued for Thursday afternoon into early
Thursday evening for fire zones 206, 208, 209, and 219.
There is potential for elevated to near critical fire conditions Friday
through Sunday. Temperatures will be much warmer with many locations rising
at or above 80F. Humidity will be as low from 15 to 20 percent. winds will
be a bit lighter with afternoon gusts of 20 to 30 mph.
Chances for wetting rainfall start to increase by Sunday night and into
the first part of next week.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM CDT Thursday for NEZ206-208-
209-219.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...NMJ
FIRE WEATHER...Roberg