Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
749 FXUS65 KLKN 302010 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 110 PM PDT Tue Apr 30 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Gusty west to northwest winds continue this afternoon across central and northern Nevada. A cold front tonight will usher in colder air into the area tomorrow with highs only reaching into the 40s and 50s along with isolated showers across portions of northeastern Nevada. Another disturbance will bring light shower activity to northeastern Nevada again on Thursday with potential for widespread rain and mountain snow coming up for the weekend into early next week. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday night. Skies are mostly sunny this afternoon through some high clouds can be seen moving across the forecast area. Afternoon breezes will continue through the early evening before diminishing. Dry and quiet conditions will persist during the overnight though clouds will be on the increase during the morning hours Wednesday in advance of the next system. This system will bring a cold front to the area. Not much in the way of precipitation is expected but it will bring in some colder air to the area. Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s. For Wednesday and Wednesday night, northwest flow will keep a lid on temperatures for tomorrow. Northwest winds will once again be breezy to locally windy with speeds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts of 35 to 40 mph. Highs will only reach into the 50s in the north to 60s in central Nevada. Look for dry conditions through the overnight with lows in the 20s and 30s. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday On-and-off again weather activity continues in the late week with another active weather pattern over the weekend, followed by more quiet weather early next week. Thursday, quiet weather is expected in the early day with high temperatures reaching into 60s to 70s, however, some areas in northern Nevada are expected to have highs in the 40s as a low pressure system north of Nevada is expected to increase chances for weather up to 40% by the afternoon. Breezy westerly winds are expected in the afternoon from a near zonal flow pattern, increasing winds up to 15-20 mph. Friday, a brief lull in weather sets in over the silver state, making high temperatures in the upper 50s to 70s across the state and lows in the 30s to 40s. Winds are also expected to be calmer with speeds at or below 10 mph. The weekend, models are showing the development of another low pressure system moving over the western U.S. however confidence is low on the position of this storm. The weather pattern is expected to increase chances for precipitation to 20-40% for central Nevada and 50-70% for northern Nevada with the chance of snow at higher elevations and mountains. Highs on Saturday is expected to be in the 60s to 70s with lows in the 30s to 40s, with temperatures Sunday expected to be cooler as the cold front passes with highs in the 40s to 50s and lows in the 30s. Saturday winds expected to increase in the day from the south at 20-30 mph with strongest winds in central Nevada. Sunday winds expected to be breezy as well, but at 15-20 mph. By Sunday evening into Monday morning, the weather pattern is expected to dissipate. Monday and Tuesday is expected to see calmer weather as the low pressure system moves east, however chances for precipitation remain for northern Nevada both days up to 25%. High temperatures expected to reach back into the 60s to 70s for central Nevada both days with northern Nevada expected to stay cooler in the 50s to low 60s. Lows each night expected to be in the 30s to 40s. Breezy westerly winds expected in the afternoons at 10-15 mph. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hour period at all terminals. Gusty winds up to 20-25 kts expected at all terminals in the afternoon and dissipate in the evening with the exception of KTPH expecting gusty winds at 20-25 kts overnight. && .HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to continued snow melt. Colder temperatures, mostly in the 20s, are expected tonight and Wednesday night with high probabilities of near 100% of falling to or below freezing which will inhibit rapid snow melt. Dry conditions are expected across northern Nevada today. A cold front associated with a weather disturbance will bring a few showers to northeastern Nevada Wednesday afternoon but will be insignificant in terms of hydrology. The Bruneau River is currently in action stage and is expected to fluctuate around action stage through today. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in minor flood stage and is forecast remain in minor flood stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Comus is currently oscillating near minor flood stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days, remaining in minor flood stage. The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and is forecast to gradually fall over the next several days, remaining in action stage. The Owyhee River near Mountain City has fallen below minor flood stage and is expected to gradually fall further through this week, but remain in action stage. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/97/97