Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
339 AM EDT THU AUG 11 2016 /239 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016/

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will move across the
region this weekend and into early next week. The potential for
heavy rainfall will be highest across southern Indiana over the
weekend with the threat shifting southward into Kentucky early
next week.

A gradient of heavy rainfall looks likely across the region with
this event. As much as 4 to 8 inches of rainfall be possible over
CENTRAL AND southern Indiana through the next seven days, while
southern parts of Kentucky may only see 2 to 4 inches.

Current hydrologic conditions across the region can be classified
as wet or saturated. While area lakes and reservoirs are at normal
summer pool levels, streamflow in areas creeks, streams and rivers
remain at high levels. Additional rainfall will likely cause
flooding, especially in low-lying and poor drainage areas.

At this time, forecast confidence is high that heavy rain will
fall, especially north of interstate 64 in southern Indiana. The
exact location is still unclear where the heaviest rainfall will
occur. We expect that confidence will increase over the next few
days as the event draws closer.

Stay tuned to NOAA all hazards radio and your local media for the
latest updates on this weather situation.

$$
JDG/JMD/MJ



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