Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
355 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2014 /255 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014/

...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT OVER
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA...

A FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL SAG SOUTH INTO TENNESSEE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY...THEN MOVE NORTH ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AS A DEEP STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY ON MONDAY.

OCCASIONAL RAIN AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT OVER THE AREA. ANY STORM COULD
PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...BUT OVERALL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT TO MODERATE.

ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE OUTLOOK AREA. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN THE
ATMOSPHERE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR FROM THESE STORMS. THEN
ON MONDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES OUR
AREA...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. IF
STORMS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT ARE ABLE TO MOVE OVER THE
SAME LOCATIONS...THEN NOT ONLY HIGH RAINFALL RATES BUT HIGH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD DEVELOP WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCAL FLOOD CONCERNS.

GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD VARY WIDELY ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHERN INDIANA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DEPENDING ON STORM COVERAGE
AND PROPAGATION. NEVERTHELESS, TOTAL ACCUMULATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES, POSSIBLY ISOLATED HIGHER ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN
KENTUCKY, COULD OCCUR BY TUESDAY MORNING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
SITUATION. DEPENDING ON HOW STORMS EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
A FLOOD OR FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED IN LATER FORECASTS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. COMPLETE LAKE AND RIVER INFORMATION
CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE

$$
TWF






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