Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FGUS73 KLMK 280847
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INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-282100-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
347 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015 /247 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2015/

...SNOWMELT AND HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING NEXT WEEK...

THE SNOWPACK IN THE AREA CONTAINS BETWEEN ONE HALF AND TWO INCHES OF
LIQUID.  THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MELTING THIS WEEKEND AS
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING.
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH TOTALS
OF UP TO A HALF INCH.  THIS PRECIPITATION COMBINED WITH THE SNOWMELT
WILL SATURATE THE GROUND AND RESULT IN RISES ON SMALL STREAMS/CREEKS.

A SECONDARY STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED.
AROUND TWO TO AS MUCH AS TWO AND HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.

THE COMBINED RAINFALL FROM THE TWO SYSTEMS MENTIONED COULD TRIGGER
WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
HEAVIER SNOWPACKS. GIVEN CURRENT FORECAST PROJECTIONS, FLOODING
ON THE MAJOR RIVER STEMS WOULD LIKELY BEGIN WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO WHERE
THE HEAVY RAINFALL AXIS WILL SET UP. THOUGH THE LATEST FORECASTS SUGGEST
IT WILL BE ALONG OR SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER MAIN STEM. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THESE STORMS CLOSELY OVER THE WEEKEND AND
WILL CONTINUE COORDINATION WITH OUR RIVER FORECAST CENTERS.

RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR WATER LEVELS
IN THE COMING DAYS AND PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING BY MIDWEEK.

$$

MJ/CMC







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