Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS53 KLMK 160859
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
359 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...AN OCCLUDING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. A COLD FRONT FROM THIS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT...EXPECT SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AROUND
SUNRISE. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WITH THE COLD
FRONT PASSAGE GUSTING INTO THE 20-30 MPH RANGE. ON AND OFF RAIN
SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE DAY
POST-FRONTAL. PRECIPITATION WILL END TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER SURFACE
TROUGH PASSING THROUGH SHIFTING WINDS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY WILL FALL THROUGH THE 40S.
CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN WEDNESDAY MORNING LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. DISPERSION WILL BE GOOD TODAY WITH MIXING
HEIGHTS MAXING OUT NEAR 3 KFT AGL.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. A STRONGER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.


INZ076-083-084-089-162115-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
359 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014 /259 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      46 (-3)      29 (-16)     35
RH % (24H TREND)      74 (+5)      87 (-6)      67
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 8-12 G23               LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W 7-11 G23   W 4-8 G18    LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2776                      2184
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     65230                     22190
DISPERSION            GOOD                      POOR
DSI                   STBL         N/A          STBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            4
ADI EARLY             55 GEN GOOD  45 GEN GOOD  18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            4

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ023>034-038-045-053-162115-
WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-
HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-
BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-
SPENCER KY-NELSON KY-LARUE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...
HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...
LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...
TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE
359 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014 /259 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (-2)      31 (-15)     37
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (+10)     88 (-6)      66
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 8-12 G23               W 3-7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W 8-12 G23   W 4-8 G18    LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3036                      2418
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     73324                     41314
DISPERSION            GOOD                      FAIR
DSI                   STBL         N/A          STBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            4
ADI EARLY             59 GEN GOOD  46 GEN GOOD  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              59 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-066-067-162115-
FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-
JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-
CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...LIBERTY...STANFORD
359 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (-3)      34 (-14)     39
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (+23)     88 (-7)      65
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 8-12 G24               W 3-7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W 8-12 G24   W 4-8 G17    LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3542                      2860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     94920                     47504
DISPERSION            GOOD                      FAIR
DSI                   STBL         N/A          STBL
LAL                   2            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            4
ADI EARLY             70 GOOD      53 GEN GOOD  23 FAIR
ADI LATE              64 GOOD      27 FAIR      23 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ061>063-070>074-162115-
BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...
MUNFORDVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...
SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
259 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      47 (-7)      33 (-13)     40
RH % (24H TREND)      72 (+5)      84 (-5)      63
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   W 7-11 G22                LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W 6-10 G20   W 3-7        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3252                      2401
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     79134                     30144
DISPERSION            GOOD                      MARGINAL
DSI                   STBL         N/A          STBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            4
ADI EARLY             55 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR      17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ064-065-075>078-081-082-162115-
GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
359 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014 /259 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (-7)      33 (-15)     40
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (+18)     88 (-5)      64
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 7-11 G22               LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W 6-10 G22   W 3-7        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3430                      2465
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     85307                     31449
DISPERSION            GOOD                      MARGINAL
DSI                   STBL         N/A          STBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            4
ADI EARLY             60 GEN GOOD  45 GEN GOOD  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OR
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$







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