Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS53 KLMK 300854
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
454 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...SEVERAL PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRONTS ROTATING AROUND
A SURFACE LOW SET TO TRACK FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE
UPPER OHIO VALLEY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY. THE FRONTS WILL PROVIDE A FOCAL POINT
FOR THE STRONGEST STORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BECOME SEVERE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING IN PARTS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

INZ076-083-084-089-302115-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY
454 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016 /354 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (-2)      59 (+4)      75
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (+19)     98 (+12)     55
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   E  6                      LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SE  7        S  5         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.32         0.10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3263                      4772
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     71786                     90668
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   STBL         STBL         SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            4            4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-302115-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
454 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016 /354 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (0)       60 (+2)      77
RH % (24H TREND)      61 (+13)     98 (+11)     55
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SE  6                     SW  5
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  8         S  6         SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.36         0.17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6022                      5073
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     84308                     99225
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            4            4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  9 POOR       37 FAIR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-302115-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...BRANDENBURG...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN
454 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (-2)      59 (+4)      77
RH % (24H TREND)      70 (+22)     97 (+12)     56
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   E  6                      SW  5
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SE  6        S  6         SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.37         0.14
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1914                      5153
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     30240                     99000
DISPERSION            MARGINAL                  EXCELLENT
DSI                   STBL         STBL         SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            4            4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  12 POOR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      8 POOR       55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-302115-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER
454 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (-2)      60 (+5)      76
RH % (24H TREND)      68 (+19)     93 (+10)     56
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   E  6                      SW  6
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SE  6        S  6         SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.42         0.21
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2194                      4958
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     21151                     86963
DISPERSION            POOR                      GOOD
DSI                   STBL         STBL         SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            4            4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  10 POOR      33 FAIR
ADI LATE              20 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-302115-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...
RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
454 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016 /354 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (0)       60 (+3)      77
RH % (24H TREND)      58 (+13)     94 (+9)      56
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SE  5                     SW  6
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  7         S  6         SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.40         0.26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5787                      6553
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     93398                     105468
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            4            4
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  8 POOR       41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              19 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$



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