Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS53 KLMK 150753
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Kentucky and Southern Indiana
National Weather Service Louisville KY
253 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...Plan on a mild and breezy day with temperatures averaging
20 degrees above normal. Southwest winds will gust to 30 mph at
times this afternoon. A strong cold front pushes through the area
tonight bringing widespread rain, some of which could be locally
heavy. Additional rain is likely Saturday and then again early
next week as multiple systems pass through the lower Ohio Valley.

INZ076-083-084-089-152115-
Orange-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Including the cities of Paoli, Jasper, English, and Tell City
253 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 /153 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           rain         tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      69 (+9)      39 (-19)     46
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (-12)     85 (-15)     63
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 10 G21                 NW  9 G18
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 14 G23    SW 14 G24    N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.55         0.08
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1825                      3354
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     N 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     43879                     37708
DISPERSION            Fair                      Marginal
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  STBL
LAL                   1            2            1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      31 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              46 GEN GOOD  40 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Cooler. Lows
around 50. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-152115-
Hancock-Breckinridge-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Larue-Butler-Edmonson-
Hart-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg,
Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Hodgenville, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin,
Providence, Scottsville, and Glasgow
253 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 /153 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
PRECIP TYPE           rain         showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      73 (+12)     45 (-14)     54
RH % (24H TREND)      63 (-27)     89 (-11)     68
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 13 G25                 NW 10 G19
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 16 G27    SW 15 G25    N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.21         0.23
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2379                      3495
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     80625                     94365
DISPERSION            Good                      Good
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  STBL
LAL                   1            2            1
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2
ADI EARLY             53 GEN GOOD  38 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              65 GOOD      39 FAIR      37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-152115-
Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Harrison-Floyd-Clark-Meade-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Spencer-Nelson-
Including the cities of Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Corydon,
New Albany, Jeffersonville, Brandenburg, Shepherdsville,
Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville,
Taylorsville, and Bardstown
253 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           rain         tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (+11)     41 (-17)     50
RH % (24H TREND)      70 (-14)     89 (-9)      61
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 10 G22                 NW  9 G18
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 14 G25    SW 15 G26    N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.49         0.12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1951                      3664
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     N 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     48949                     37350
DISPERSION            Fair                      Marginal
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  STBL
LAL                   1            2            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      28 FAIR      44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            3            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-152115-
Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-
Including the cities of Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, and Winchester
253 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           rain         showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (+10)     46 (-12)     54
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (-19)     92 (-5)      66
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 12 G24                 NW 10 G20
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 15 G27    SW 16 G29    N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.37         0.18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1844                      3612
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     47707                     103965
DISPERSION            Fair                      Excellent
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  STBL
LAL                   1            2            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
ADI EARLY             39 FAIR      32 FAIR      63 GOOD
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  58 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-152115-
Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Monroe-
Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond,
Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Tompkinsville,
Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
253 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 /153 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
PRECIP TYPE           rain         showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           90
TEMP (24H TREND)      73 (+11)     51 (-7)      57
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (-21)     93 (-6)      70
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 12 G23                 NW  9 G20
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 15 G25    SW 14 G25    N  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.17         0.28
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2301                      3547
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     71514                     99316
DISPERSION            Good                      Excellent
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  35 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  30 FAIR      40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            4

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$



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