Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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205
FNUS53 KLMK 050642
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
242 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL GIVE US ANOTHER
CHILLY DAY TODAY WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS, FOLLOWED BY
MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND DRIER WEATHER INTO THE FIRST PART OF
THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND, AND IT LOOKS LIKE WE`LL BE IN A
SHOWERY PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

INZ076-083-084-089-052115-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY
242 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 /142 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      63 (+2)      43 (-1)      73
RH % (24H TREND)      52 (+3)      88 (-1)      40
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   NW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   N  7         N  5         NW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4259                      5734
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     78615                     81398
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             47 GEN GOOD  21 FAIR      64 GOOD
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-052115-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
242 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 /142 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      61 (-2)      45 (+2)      73
RH % (24H TREND)      55 (+3)      91 (-1)      40
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   NW  7                     LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   NW  9        NW  5        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4331                      5756
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     99672                     95910
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  STBL         MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
ADI EARLY             55 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR      73 GOOD
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-052115-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...BRANDENBURG...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN
242 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (+2)      44 (+1)      73
RH % (24H TREND)      55 (+2)      92 (0)       40
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   NW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   N  7         NW  5        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4242                      5752
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     75870                     98636
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  STBL         MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      28 FAIR      64 GOOD
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  5 VERY POOR  64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-052115-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER
242 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      58 (-3)      45 (+3)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      62 (+8)      94 (-1)      42
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   NW  5                     NW  5
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   NW  7        NW  5        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4302                      5748
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     71552                     112853
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   STBL         STBL         MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
ADI EARLY             30 FAIR      24 FAIR      89 GOOD
ADI LATE              53 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  85 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-052115-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...
RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
242 AM EDT THU MAY 5 2016 /142 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      57 (-6)      44 (+2)      71
RH % (24H TREND)      62 (+11)     96 (-1)      42
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   NW  5                     NW  5
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   NW  8        NW  5        NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4318                      5747
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     81993                     120578
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  STBL         MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR      91 GOOD
ADI LATE              49 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  84 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

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