Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
FNUS53 KLMK 250821
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
421 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE IN FROM THE
NORTH TODAY BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEK...SETTING THE STAGE FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

INZ076-083-084-089-252115-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY
421 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016 /321 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      90 (-2)      70 (-4)      88
RH % (24H TREND)      60 (+3)      100 (+1)     58
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.12         0.05
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7738                      7116
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     81895                     20778
DISPERSION            GOOD                      POOR
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           10           10
MAX LVORI LATE        3            10           3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-252115-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
421 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016 /321 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      92 (-1)      72 (-2)      89
RH % (24H TREND)      52 (-2)      100 (+1)     58
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.26         0.18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7473                      7446
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     64293                     30181
DISPERSION            GOOD                      MARGINAL
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              28 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-252115-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...BRANDENBURG...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN
421 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      90 (-2)      70 (-3)      88
RH % (24H TREND)      56 (+2)      100 (+2)     57
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.13         0.09
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)9542                      8187
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     95352                     36740
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 MARGINAL
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      7 POOR       13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-252115-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER
421 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      91 (-2)      71 (-2)      88
RH % (24H TREND)      54 (+1)      100 (+2)     57
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.15         0.11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)9822                      7418
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     107768                    36730
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 MARGINAL
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      9 POOR       23 FAIR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            8            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-252115-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...
RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
421 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2016 /321 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      91 (-1)      71 (-1)      90
RH % (24H TREND)      53 (+1)      100 (+1)     58
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.25         0.19
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7978                      7426
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     73379                     37620
DISPERSION            GOOD                      MARGINAL
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            9            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$



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