Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
FNUS53 KLMK 191936
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
336 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...STEADY NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE OHIO VALLEY SITS BETWEEN SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND A SURFACE LOW OVER NE FLORIDA.
THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING HEIGHT OVERACHIEVED THIS AFTERNOON...
CAUSING MUCH DRIER AIR TO BE MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE. CURRENT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE RANGING MOSTLY IN THE 25-30 PERCENT
RANGE...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS ARE IN THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE. THIS
DRY AIR COMBINED WITH STEADY WINDS AND DRY SMALL FUELS WILL
CONTINUE TO CREATE CONDITIONS NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HIGHLIGHTING THIS
THREAT  HAS BEEN ISSUED. OTHERWISE...RH VALUES WILL RECOVER
OVERNIGHT TO 70-80 PERCENT RIDGES AND 85-95 PERCENT VALLEYS.
EXPECT LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH LOWEST RH VALUES
DROPPING INTO THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE.

INZ076-083-084-089-200915-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
336 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 /236 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      43 (-2)      78 (+4)      50           76
RH % (24H TREND)      86 (+6)      29 (+4)      89           42
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                LGT/VAR                   SW 3-7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             4796                      6872
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  20253                     103152
DISPERSION                         POOR                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          MOD UNSTBL   N/A          MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3            2
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      22 FAIR      31 FAIR      51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  31 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        5            2            5            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ063>066-074>078-081-082-200915-
HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-
METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...
COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
336 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 /236 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      43 (-2)      80 (+6)      51           77
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (-7)      27 (0)       82           39
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                LGT/VAR                   SW 3-7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 4-8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             5509                      6935
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     W 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  27398                     107070
DISPERSION                         POOR                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          VRY UNSTBL   N/A          MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       27 FAIR      29 FAIR      54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            2            4            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ023>025-028>034-038-045-053-200915-
WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-
HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-SPENCER KY-
NELSON KY-LARUE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...
HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN...
HODGENVILLE
336 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 /236 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-3)      79 (+6)      49           78
RH % (24H TREND)      87 (+2)      26 (+1)      87           39
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                LGT/VAR                   SW 3-7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             5053                      6806
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  32314                     110550
DISPERSION                         MARGINAL                  EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          MOD UNSTBL   N/A          MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  26 FAIR      34 FAIR      56 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  36 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            4            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ026-027-061-062-070>073-200915-
OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-
SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...MORGANTOWN...
BROWNSVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...
SCOTTSVILLE
236 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      45 (-1)      79 (+3)      51           77
RH % (24H TREND)      89 (0)       30 (+5)      92           41
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                LGT/VAR                   SW 4-8
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             5192                      7148
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  27096                     100744
DISPERSION                         POOR                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          MOD UNSTBL   N/A          MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            2            2
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR  27 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  27 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  49 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        5            2            5            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-067-200915-
FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-
JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-
LINCOLN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...STANFORD
336 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      41 (-4)      79 (+7)      48           78
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (-2)      28 (-1)      83           40
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                LGT/VAR                   SW 3-7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 4-8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             5033                      6678
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  30546                     108540
DISPERSION                         MARGINAL                  EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          VRY UNSTBL   N/A          MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            2
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       29 FAIR      23 FAIR      53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  35 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        5            2            4            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

BJS




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