Fire Weather Notification
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
SHUS83 KLMK 132030
FWNLMK
FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR HOOSIER NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
430 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS
OUR REGION.

INZ062-063-069>071-140830-
MONROE-BROWN-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLOOMINGTON...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
420 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.15 - 0.42 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (92800 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.25 INCHES.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.19 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (108400 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......NONE.

$$

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL ENTER THE AREA TONIGHT
AROUND MIDNIGHT. ON AND OFF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT
THE DAY ON MONDAY WITH PERHAPS A NOTABLE ROUND IN THE MORNING AND
THEN ANOTHER FOR THE MID AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE COLD
FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY EVENING WITH COLD AIR
QUICKLY FILTERING IN BEHIND IT. THIS WILL PROBABLY CAUSE RAIN
SHOWERS TO CHANGE TO A RAIN AND SNOW MIX MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING.

INZ076-083-084-089-140930-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
420 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 /320 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           80           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (+1)      65 (-15)     33           44
RH % (24H TREND)      85 (+14)     73 (+26)     93           35
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                SW 9-13 G23               NW 9-13 G21
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 9-13 G23   W 4-8 G20    NW 7-11 G21  NW 7-11 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.33         0.11         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             3387                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  119045                    103376
DISPERSION                         EXCELLENT                 EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          STBL         N/A          MOD UNSTBL
LAL                   2            2            2            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2            2
ADI EARLY             93 GOOD      87 GOOD      58 GEN GOOD  68 GOOD
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  75 GOOD      39 FAIR      76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            4            3
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            3            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$



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