Fire Weather Notification
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
SHUS83 KLMK 112030
FWNLMK
FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR HOOSIER NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
430 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER THIS AFTERNOON WILL
LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT EARLY SATURDAY...WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
THEN RETURN THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH SLOWLY WARMING TEMPS FOR THE END OF
THE WEEK.

INZ062-063-069>071-120815-
MONROE-BROWN-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLOOMINGTON...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
341 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (204500 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...6800-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (152300 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......NONE.

$$

.DISCUSSION...A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS
KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN RETREAT BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM
FRONT ON SATURDAY. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON BUT
THESE WILL END AFTER SUNSET. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AS THE WARM
FRONT PUSHES NORTH OF THE AREA. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50...AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE 45-50 PERCENT RANGE.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY WILL BE LOWER DUE TO MORE MIXING AND SLIGHTLY
LOWER DEWPOINT VALUES. A GOOD CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS IS LIKELY ON
MONDAY WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE REGION.

INZ076-083-084-089-120915-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
336 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 /236 PM CDT FRI APR 11 2014/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (-7)      78 (+6)      57           78
RH % (24H TREND)      94 (+32)     48 (+5)      92           43
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)                S 4-8 G20                 S 9-13 G25
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      S 9-13 G25   S 7-11 G18   S 13-17 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)             6708                      4385
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      S 38
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  176748                    150990
DISPERSION                         EXCELLENT                 EXCELLENT
DSI                   N/A          MOD UNSTBL   N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            4
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      89 GOOD      76 GOOD      91 GOOD
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  100 GOOD     17 GEN POOR  107 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        7            1            4            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$



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