Fire Weather Notification
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
SHUS83 KLMK 221000
FWNLMK
FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR HOOSIER NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...AN ACTIVE AND WARM WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL ALLOW VERY WARM AND
HUMID AIR TO PUSH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE...SEVERAL UPPER
LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL INDIANA ALONG A LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS WILL
RESULT IN DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OR STORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

INZ062-063-069>071-222015-
MONROE-BROWN-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLOOMINGTON...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
411 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (80200 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.06 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.05 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (35400 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.03 - 0.22 INCHES.

$$

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HAS ESTABLISHED ITSELF
OVER THE REGION AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST
EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RESULT WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION POSSIBLE MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL MAX OUT BETWEEN 4-6 KFT AGL EACH
AFTERNOON WITH FAIR TO POOR DISPERSION EXPECTED.

INZ076-083-084-089-222130-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
408 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014 /308 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      92 (+2)      73 (+1)      93
RH % (24H TREND)      53 (-3)      95 (0)       52
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 3-7                    LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 3-7       LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.05
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5390                      5718
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     49624                     32268
DISPERSION            FAIR                      MARGINAL
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            3            3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      28 FAIR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              39 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$


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