Fire Weather Notification
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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SHUS83 KLMK 262030
FWNLMK
FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR HOOSIER NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
430 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION IS EVOLVING FOR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AS A COLD FRONT ENTERS AN UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. ADDITIONAL SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE
POSSIBLE TOMORROW AS UPPER LOW MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. COOLER AIR
WILL COMMENCE ON MONDAY.

INZ062-063-069>071-262015-
MONROE-BROWN-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLOOMINGTON...BEDFORD...SEYMOUR
455 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL
                    MIDDAY...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72900 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.06 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......1.32 - 1.59 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (287600 KNOT-FT).
MAX MIXING HEIGHT...8200-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.27 INCHES.

$$

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA THIS WEEKEND
BRINGING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. MOST OF TODAY WILL BE DRY
WITH TEMPERATURES SOARING INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S FOR
HIGHS UNDER A SOUTHWEST WIND BETWEEN 5-15 MPH. DISPERSION WILL BE
FAIR TO GOOD. THE FIRST ROUND OF STORMS WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT WITH
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA
AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. SUNDAY MORNING WE MAY SEE A LULL IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND DEVELOPS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS EXPECTED OVER EAST
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

INZ076-083-084-089-262130-
ORANGE IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY
402 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014 /302 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      91 (+9)      73 (+12)     89
RH % (24H TREND)      49 (+5)      97 (0)       52
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW 4-8                    SW 8-12 G25
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   SW 7-11 G19  SW 5-9       W 12-16 G30
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.85         0.12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3537                      4672
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     51048                     155970
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  N/A          SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   3            5            3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
ADI EARLY             50 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD  65 GOOD
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  15 GEN POOR  97 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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