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000
FXUS64 KLZK 121935
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
235 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

A calm and drier period is expected in the short term as high
pressure will takeover the weather pattern. Currently, northwesterly
winds could be gusty through the afternoon hours before becoming
calmer by this evening and overnight. Winds will become out of the
southwest by Saturday afternoon.

Temperatures are expected to be more average to slightly above
average this weekend. High temperatures are expected to be in the
mid 70s to mid 80s with overnight lows in the upper 40s to lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Quiet weather is expected to be in place at the start of the period
as mid-level ridging will be moving over the region and sfc ridging
will be positioned to the SE. This setup will provide well above
normal temperatures along with dry conditions. Farther to the west, a
mid-level cyclone will be moving inland along the CA coast. As this
system progresses east of the Four Corners on Monday, SW flow will
begin to intensify ahead of the system. Td values of 60 F or greater
are expected as far north as NE/IA.

As the H500 system intensifies and moves toward the Central/Southern
Plains, a corresponding sfc low and accompanying dryline/cold front
will push eastward. Thunderstorms are expected to develop along and
ahead of these features from Monday evening through Tuesday morning.
Activity will initially remain west of the area but expect storms to
push into the state by early Tuesday. As the H500 cyclone lifts
northeast toward the Great Lakes Tue-Wed the trailing cold front
will push across the state. Another round of thunderstorms, some of
which could be severe, is expected to develop and push across the
state through Tuesday night.

A brief break in precip is expected across AR for parts of Wed-Thu
before a northern US H500 low is expected to move southeast across
the Great Lakes Thu-Fri. Another cold front is set to move across
the state and additional rain and thunderstorms are likely by late
week. Behind this cold front could be a decent push of April cold
air as sfc ridging tries to sink south toward the state. We could
see lows in the 30s/40s F just beyond the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

High pressure will continue through the period promoting calm and
dry conditions across all terminals. Widespread VFR conditions
will prevail. Winds will remain out of the NW through the
afternoon hours and could be gusty at times. Winds are expected to
shift out of the SW by Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     51  83  60  81 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         50  82  57  81 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       49  81  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    50  81  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  53  84  61  82 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     53  82  60  81 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      50  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  47  83  58  84 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        48  81  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     52  81  58  81 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   50  84  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         48  83  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      52  80  59  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...73