941
FNUS74 KMAF 101427
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for Redford East...TFS
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
927 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 CDT on May 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Minimum humidity falls right near critical levels but winds remain
largely tame through the afternoon out of the easterly direction.
Overnight recoveries tonight are excellent with some
precipitation chances building through Saturday morning/afternoon.
The chance for a shower or storm to pass over the forecast point
is quite low but note that showers and a few thunderstorms may be
in the vicinity that could lead to gusty/erratic winds. Much drier
daytime conditions with poor overnight recoveries return for
Sunday onward.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............81     88     93     96
RH..............32     35     29     25
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..6      6      7      10
20 FT wind gust.7             10     14
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   4600   7600   8400
Transp wind dir.E      E      SE     E
Transp wind spd.7      7      9      13
Haines index....5      5      5      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0200, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 20 mph decreasing to around 9
                    mph early in the morning. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    early in the evening increasing to 33 mph, then
                    decreasing to 23 mph overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 25 mph shifting to the southeast 12
                    to 13 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    PCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        30
LAL.............1         1         1         2
Temp............92        79        74        72
RH..............31        54        73        80
20 FT wind dir..E         E         E         E
20 FT wind spd..15        17        15        12
20 FT wind gust.18        24        19        16
Mix hgt (ft)....5200      1400      1300      800
Transp wind dir.E         E         E         SE
Transp wind spd.17        23        21        13
Haines index....3         5         5         4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0700, then No Tstms until
                    1300, then 1-8 strikes until 1600, then 9-15
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 12 mph early in the afternoon,
                    then shifting to the west around 13 mph late in
                    the afternoon shifting to the south late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    13 to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC                         CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC                         S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20        10        10        40
LAL.............2         1         1         2
Temp............69        75        86        96
RH..............84        71        51        27
20 FT wind dir..E         SE        SE        SW
20 FT wind spd..8         7         9         12
20 FT wind gust.11        10        11        14
Mix hgt (ft)....700       2100      4800      9000
Transp wind dir.SE        SE        S         SW
Transp wind spd.10        12        12        16
Haines index....3         3         4         3

$$
Forecaster...Munyan
Requested by...Cindy Skinner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413693.0/MAF
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu