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000
FNUS73 KMKX 201228
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Schoenberg Hall...USFWS
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
728 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 20.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Deep mixing heights are expected to reach close to 6000 ft AGL
today. However, clouds developing across the area around 1000 CDT
may keep temperatures lower and therefore mixing heights lower as
well. An isolated shower or two is possible this afternoon.

Northwesterly winds around 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 25 mph will
pick up around ignition, and will continue into early this
afternoon before slowly diminishing to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
after 1500 CDT. RH values will fall to 42 percent this afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    sprinkles in the afternoon.
Temperature.........35 at ignition...Max 46.
RH..................56 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 11 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 12 to 13
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /89100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /104900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  66  65  64  64  66  67  69  68
Weather cov.....                SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............35  37  38  40  41  44  44  45  45
RH..............56  52  50  48  46  43  43  43  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..11  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  11
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  18  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 4.7 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.7 5.8 5.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.24  23  22  23  22  22  21  21  20
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100089  93  98  105 101 104 103 105 89

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent). Scattered sprinkles early
                    in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (79900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66  64  58  52  46  33  19  6   5   3   2   1
Weather cov.....SCT
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  43  41  39  38  37  35  34  33  32  32  31
RH..............45  47  50  57  59  61  66  72  72  72  75  75
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.16  14  14  14  13  12  12  11  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  17  12  13  14  13  13  13  14  13  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100080  33  6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 20
                    to 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (93900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (81000
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   0   0   0   0   1   2   2   4   6   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  33  37  41  46  49  52  54  55  56  57  57
RH..............72  69  61  55  45  40  36  34  31  30  29  29
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   10  11  11  12  13  13  13  11
20 FT wind gust.11  12  13  14  16  17  18  18  18  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.2 1.8 3.8 4.7 5.3 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.8 4.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  13  17  20  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  20
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   17  31  76  94  106 118 125 131 137 81

$$
Forecaster...MH
Requested by...Sean
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411487.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sean_sallmann@fws.gov