National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FNUS73 KMPX 241205
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Clair Rollings Rx...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
705 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Clair Rollings Rx Burn, skies will be
mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west
to east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the mid to
upper 60s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity
values forecasted to be in 50s this morning before dropping into
the low to mid 20s by the afternoon. Winds will generally be
southerly at 5-10 MPH then becoming southeasterly this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................76 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /67300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  49  54  57  60  63  65  66  66  66  66  62
RH..............76  58  46  38  31  26  25  24  24  24  25  31
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  9   9   8   9   10  10  10  10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.8 3.5 4.9 5.8 6.4 6.7 7.2 7.5 7.5 5.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   8   8   10  10  12  12  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (74700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 13
                    to 17 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 22 mph shifting to the
                    south around 23 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (85500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (114300
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 25 mph shifting to the south 28
                    to 31 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Louise Spiczka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412178.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us