Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 221122
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Prime Fields...USFWS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
722 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Relative Humidity will continue to rise tonight with winds
quickly easing as well. Much lighter winds along with somewhat
higher humidity values are forecast on Friday, greatly limiting
the fire weather threat. While minimum RH may still reach down
close to 30-40 percent during `peak daytime heating` Friday
afternoon, winds of mainly 5 to 10 mph will preclude the need
for even another Special Weather Statement on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 9 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 14 mph shifting to the southeast 14
                    to 20 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (54400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................14 early in the morning increasing to 63 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  11  12  13  14  14  15  16  25  33  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  33  37  40  43  45  47  48  49  49  48
RH..............66  66  61  57  53  49  47  49  48  50  54
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   9   10  12  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   9   12  16  17  17  20  18  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.0 2.8
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  13  14  15  15  17  17  20  20
ADI.............14  14  33  40  45  51  53  61  61  63  61
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   8   22  27  37  44  47  54  54  51  48
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the evening, then rain overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (8200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................15 to 40.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  59  84  81  88  93  93  96  96  97  98  98
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  20  20  30  50  70  80  90  90  100
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  20  20  30  50  70  80  90  90  100
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  46  46  46  47  48  49  50  51  51  52  52
RH..............58  65  68  76  79  83  83  83  86  89  89  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  13  10  12  12  10  12  12  12  14  15  15
20 FT wind gust.21  20  16  16  16  15  16  17  20  21  21  22
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.20  21  17  18  20  17  18  18  18  20  21  22
ADI.............40  23  15  16  18  15  16  16  16  18  19  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..37  34  16  11  11  8   9   11  11  11  13  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
CWR.................100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........86 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 24 mph with gusts
                    to around 39 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 29 mph increasing to south 32
                    to 38 mph late in the morning, then becoming
                    southwest 20 to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 66 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 95  93  93
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Chc of pcpn (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  53  54  54  55  56  56  57  58  58  57  57
RH..............96  93  93  96  96  93  96  90  90  90  93  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..16  17  20  20  23  25  28  29  28  25  21  18
20 FT wind gust.24  26  26  29  33  36  39  40  40  36  31  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.23  21  20  25  29  32  35  37  38  32  25  20
ADI.............21  23  21  36  43  48  57  62  66  51  37  24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14  14  13  26  32  36  45  50  56  40  27  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...MJL
Requested by...Eric  Kronner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408126.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Eric_kronner@fws.gov


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