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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

000
FNUS73 KUNR 131017
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Victoria RX...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
417 AM MDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Warmer weather will continue this weekend as a ridge of high
pressure gradually passes over the region. There is a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into early evening. Dry
weather is expected on Sunday. There is a better chance of showers
and thunderstorms on Monday. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible
on Monday. Cooler and unsettled weather is expected to
return early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........Around 16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming northwest around 10 AM
                    at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds possible near any showers or thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......15200 to 15700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest around 10 AM.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair until around 10 AM then becoming Excellent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds possible near any showers or thunderstorms.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around
                    24 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......9900 to 10400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...GR
Requested by...Wayne Yanders
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2409471.5/UNR
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.roerick@usda.gov,ryan.flynn@usda.gov,wayne.yanders@usda.gov,jeremy.dalman@usda.gov