Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 290809
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
309 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT MINIMAL CHANGES TO OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE LOW RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST FOR
TODAY...ANOTHER DRY FORECAST IN ON TAP FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 90S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL DIP INTO THE 70S...WHICH IS ABOUT NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

A SHORTWAVE AND PENDANT COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH.
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY IS PROGGED TO STALL NEAR THE RED RIVER TODAY
BEFORE WASHING OUT THIS WEEKEND. A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
STORM OR TWO...MAY AFFECT NORTH TEXAS TODAY BECAUSE OF THIS
PATTERN. HOWEVER...DO NOT EXPECT WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION FOR OUR AREA. AS OF 8Z /3 AM/...THE SHOWER ACTIVITY
THAT HAD DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT NEAR THE RED RIVER WAS ELEVATED AND
LIKELY NOT REACHING THE GROUND IN MOST LOCATIONS. AS THE LOWER
LEVELS SATURATE THOUGH...SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BEGIN TO REACH THE
SURFACE.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE LOW THAT HAS DEVELOPED OFF OF THE GULF
COAST OF LA/MS TO SLIDE NORTHWARD NEXT WEEK AND BRING RAINFALL TO
EAST TEXAS...JUST OUTSIDE OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY TO OUR WEST WILL BROADEN BUT REMAIN
CENTERED TO OUR WEST. THIS PATTERN WILL HELP PROVIDE OUR SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER.

AJS

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1138 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015/
VFR WILL PREVAIL BUT ABUNDANT MID-HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AS
WEAK MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SLIDES INTO THE REGION.
INCREASING SATURATION ALOFT COMBINED WITH WEAK ELEVATED
INSTABILITY/LIFT WILL RESULT IN SOME VERY HIGH BASED LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS BY MORNING. MOSTLY VIRGA IS EXPECTED...BUT SOME RAIN MAY
REACH THE GROUND. HAVE INCLUDED VCSH FROM 10-18Z BUT ASIDE FROM
POSSIBLE TURBULENCE...DO NOT EXPECT ANY IMPACTS FROM THIS
ACTIVITY. OTHERWISE...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL VEER TO THE
SOUTH BY SUNRISE.

TR.92


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  96  75  96  75  95 /  20  20  10  10   5
WACO, TX              95  72  96  72  96 /  20  20  10   5   5
PARIS, TX             94  72  93  70  93 /  20  20  10  10   5
DENTON, TX            97  73  95  74  96 /  20  20  10  10   5
MCKINNEY, TX          95  74  93  74  94 /  20  20  10  10   5
DALLAS, TX            96  75  96  75  95 /  20  20  10  10   5
TERRELL, TX           94  73  94  72  94 /  20  20  10  10   5
CORSICANA, TX         94  72  94  72  94 /  20  20  10  10   5
TEMPLE, TX            93  72  94  72  95 /  20  20  10   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     96  71  95  72  96 /  20  20  10   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$


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