Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FXUS64 KFWD 280422
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1122 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY
SCATTERED TO BROKEN MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS. A LIGHT
NORTHEAST TO EAST WIND OVERNIGHT WILL TURN TO THE SOUTH AND
INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. WIND SPEEDS SATURDAY WILL BE BETWEEN 8
AND 13 KNOTS.

79

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THESE CLOUDS ARE GENERALLY
THIN EXCEPT ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN ZONES. THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL GIVE WAY TO A MORE ZONAL FLOW SUNDAY AS THE UPPER
RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. BREAKS DOWN WHILE THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM MICHIGAN TO
LOUISIANA MOVES EASTWARD. AFTER SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY MORNING...WE WILL HAVE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE IN THE MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH
A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF US-287 AND I-20 SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY.

ALTHOUGH THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THEIR SOLUTIONS IN THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL SHIFT TO ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35
CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY AND EAST OF I-35 THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES EAST.

58



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  48  81  57  85  62 /   5  10   0   5  10
WACO, TX              46  84  58  85  63 /   0   5   0   5   5
PARIS, TX             43  73  50  79  57 /  10  10   0  10  40
DENTON, TX            45  81  54  84  60 /   5  10   0   5  20
MCKINNEY, TX          42  78  53  82  60 /   5  10   0  10  20
DALLAS, TX            50  80  59  84  62 /   5  10   0   5  10
TERRELL, TX           44  77  55  83  61 /   5  10   0  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         47  78  59  82  63 /   5   5   0   5  10
TEMPLE, TX            49  82  58  84  61 /   0   5   0   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     46  86  54  88  58 /   5   5   0   5  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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