Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 290914
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
414 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Today will be another breezy, hot, and humid day, with afternoon
high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to mid 90s. Showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop to our north this evening,
and organize into an MCS that will make a run at northeast
Oklahoma overnight. This activity is likely to weaken and
dissipate Friday morning, with redevelopment of strong to severe
storms expected Friday afternoon near the cold front and/or
outflow boundaries from earlier convection. This activity will
then sag south overnight with the front. In addition to the severe
threat, locally heavy rainfall will also be a concern, especially
from late Friday afternoon into the evening before the activity
develops a better push to the south.

The southern part of the forecast area will see the highest storm
chances Saturday, with chances spreading back north across the
entire area Saturday night and Sunday. Monday may see a minimum in
activity, which will allow for hot temperatures again, before
an upper level disturbance moves southeast into the area and
increases storm chances later Monday night into midweek.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   94  71  88  68 /   0  60  70  70
FSM   93  73  91  71 /   0  10  40  70
MLC   92  73  91  69 /   0  10  40  70
BVO   93  69  85  64 /   0  70  60  60
FYV   88  69  86  65 /   0  20  60  70
BYV   89  68  85  66 /   0  20  60  70
MKO   92  72  89  68 /   0  30  60  70
MIO   90  69  84  65 /   0  60  70  60
F10   93  72  90  69 /   0  30  60  70
HHW   91  72  91  71 /   0  10  20  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

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