Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

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000
FXXX10 KWNP 031231
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2015 Sep 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Sep 03-Sep 05 2015 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Sep 03-Sep 05 2015

            Sep 03     Sep 04     Sep 05
00-03UT        2          3          3
03-06UT        3          2          3
06-09UT        2          3          3
09-12UT        2          2          2
12-15UT        2          2          2
15-18UT        2          2          2
18-21UT        3          2          2
21-00UT        4          3          2

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Sep 03-Sep 05 2015

              Sep 03  Sep 04  Sep 05
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Sep 03-Sep 05 2015

              Sep 03        Sep 04        Sep 05
R1-R2            1%            1%            1%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.


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