Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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AXUS74 KJAN 181852
DGTJAN
MSC001-007-011-015-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-053-055-063-
067-075-077-079-083-087-089-091-099-101-103-121-125-127-133-149-151-
157-163-LAC025-029-035-041-065-083-107-ARC017-041-260000-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
152 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2016

...WET PATTERN BRINGS SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT TO LOCAL DROUGHT
CONDITIONS...


SYNOPSIS...
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR, VALID TUESDAY AUGUST
16TH, CONDITIONS HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION. EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) CONDITIONS NO LONGER EXIST IN THE NWS
JACKSON FORECAST AREA. SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS REMAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF LEFLORE, CARROLL, GRENADA, MONTGOMERY, WEBSTER, CLAY,
OKTIBBEHA, NOXUBEE, AND LOWNDES COUNTIES. THE MODERATE DROUGHT (D1)
AREA HAS BEEN REDUCED TO INCLUDE THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR EAST OF
GREENWOOD THROUGH OKTIBBEHA AND NOXUBEE COUNTIES. A SMALL AREA ALSO
EXTENDS ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR FROM SCOTT AND NORTHERN SMITH
COUNTIES EASTWARD THROUGH LAUDERDALE AND KEMPER COUNTIES. ABNORMALLY
DRY (D0) CONDITIONS CONTINUE NORTH/EAST OF A LINE FROM SUNFLOWER TO
BELZONI TO YAZOO CITY TO KILMICHAEL TO ACKERMAN TO CARTHAGE TO
BRANDON TO MIZE TO SHUBUTA, AND IN A SMALL CORRIDOR FROM NEAR
JONESVILLE LA TO UTICA MS. ALL DROUGHT CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE NOW BEEN
REMOVED FOR MUCH OF WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, INCLUDING THE JACKSON METRO AREA, GREENVILLE,
VICKSBURG, YAZOO CITY, KOSCIUSKO, AND BROOKHAVEN. FOR MORE DETAILS,
REFER TO THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR WEBPAGE LINKED AT THE BOTTOM OF
THIS PRODUCT.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK HAS BROUGHT ABOUT CONTINUED IMPROVEMENTS
TO AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. HOWEVER, NOT ALL
AREAS RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, AND THERE HAVE BEEN RECENT
REPORTS OF DRYNESS IN CARROLL, GRENADA, CLAY, LOWNDES, AND LEAKE
COUNTIES. RECENT WET CONDITIONS ARE ACTUALLY DELAYING CORN HARVEST
IN SOME AREAS.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS RANGE FROM ABOVE NORMAL OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI, NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IN NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI. LEVELS ON MANY AREA AGRICULTURAL PONDS HAVE IMPROVED
DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL, BUT SOME REMAIN BELOW NORMAL MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THERE ARE NO KNOWN WATER
RESTRICTIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTED FIRE ISSUES ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE
PAST WEEK, AND THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO BURN BANS IN EFFECT. KEETCH-
BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KDBI) VALUES HAVE FALLEN BELOW 300 OVER
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI, SUGGESTING FUEL MOISTURE IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR
FIRE GROWTH IN THAT AREA. VALUES REMAIN BETWEEN 400 TO 500 OVER
NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI, WHICH ARE STILL
SOMEWHAT LOW FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
OVER THE PAST WEEK, SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI, NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS, WITH
WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN THESE AREAS INCLUDING
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER 10 INCHES IN PARTS OF SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA, MOST AREAS HAVE RECEIVED BETWEEN A
HALF INCH AND TWO INCHES. GIVEN THE RECENT RAINFALL, SHORT TERM
DEPARTURES CONTINUE TO IMPROVE, AND 30 DAY RAINFALL DEPARTURES ARE
NOW ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI,
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. HOWEVER, OVER THE LAST
90 DAYS, DEPARTURES OF UP TO AROUND 6 INCHES REMAIN ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR BETWEEN GREENWOOD AND THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AND
OVER PARTS OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR EAST OF JACKSON.


                 RAINFALL     DEPARTURE    RAINFALL     DEPARTURE
LOCATION       YEAR TO DATE  FROM NORMAL  6/1 TO DATE  FROM NORMAL

JACKSON JAN       49.55        +13.95       17.10        +5.61

JACKSON HKS       40.67         +5.22        9.95        -1.04

MERIDIAN MEI      36.48         -0.84       11.49        -0.40

TALLULAH/         49.18        +14.54       13.71        +4.37
VICKSBURG TVR

HATTIESBURG HBG   48.96         +8.99       17.80        +4.37

GREENWOOD GWO     35.51         +2.78        9.72        +0.32

GREENVILLE GLH    38.65         +5.46       10.12        +1.19


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, A WEAK FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS THE
REGION BRINGING MAINTAINING HIGHER THAN NORMAL RAIN CHANCES EACH
DAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK,
REDUCING RAIN CHANCES FOR AT LEAST A FEW DAYS. THE LATEST WEATHER
PREDICTION CENTER 7 DAY PRECIPITATION FORECAST INDICATES RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND 1.5 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. INCREASED CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK THEN THE FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL
LEAD TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES FOR THE UPCOMING
WEEK. GIVEN THIS FORECAST, ADDITIONAL DROUGHT REMOVAL IS VERY
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FOR AUGUST 18TH THROUGH NOVEMBER 30TH
INDICATES DROUGHT COULD PERSIST OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

BEYOND THE UPCOMING WEEK, THERE ARE GREATER CHANCES FOR...

                                TEMPERATURES     PRECIPITATION

8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK             BELOW NORMAL       NEAR NORMAL
EXPERIMENTAL 3-4 WEEK OUTLOOK  NR/ABV NORMAL    (EQUAL CHANCES)
ONE MONTH OUTLOOK (SEPTEMBER)   ABOVE NORMAL      BELOW NORMAL
THREE MONTH OUTLOOK (SEP-NOV)   ABOVE NORMAL      BELOW NORMAL


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS ARE NOW NEAR TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF CHICKASAWHAY RIVER TRIBUTARIES IN
LAUDERDALE COUNTY AND THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER ALONG THE ALABAMA BORDER,
WHICH ARE REPORTING STREAMFLOWS IN THE 10TH TO 24TH PERCENTILE.
BASED ON FORECAST RAINFALL, STREAMFLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR
TO ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST AREAS OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON AUGUST 25TH.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS:  WEATHER.GOV/JAN
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM:  WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
LSU AG CENTER: WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
LA DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY BURN BANS:
  WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/PROGRAMS/PARISH-BURN-BANS/
ARKANSAS BURN BANS: WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
MISSISSIPPI BURN BANS: WWW.MFC.MS.GOV/BURN-BANS
MISSISSIPPI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST: GEOSCIENCES.MSSTATE.EDU/STATE-CLIMATOLOGIST/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONG
VARIOUS AGENCIES WHICH INCLUDES THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS, THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, AND THE U.S.
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATION SITES, THE USDA, THE U.S.
ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS, USGS, FORESTRY INTERESTS IN MISSISSIPPI,
ARKANSAS, AND LOUISIANA.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT INFORMATION ON THIS STATEMENT,
PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
234 WEATHER SERVICE DRIVE
JACKSON, MS 39232

PHONE: (601)936-2189
EMAIL: MARTY.POPE@NOAA.GOV

$$

DL



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