Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
216 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016


...THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL DURING THE
NEXT TWO WEEKS...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS WILL BE CONSIDERED NEAR
NORMAL FOR THE STREAMS IN THE CHARLESTON HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA
(HSA). NEAR NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST MINOR FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE. THIS AREA INCLUDES EASTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST
OHIO...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED BIWEEKLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN HYDRO
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING
FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND EXPECTED
CONDITIONS...REALIZING THAT ACTUAL CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE DURING
THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

FACTORS TO CONSIDER WHEN ASSESSING FLOOD POTENTIAL ARE:

WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOWPACK...THE WETNESS OF THE
SOILS...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL...HIGH STREAMFLOWS...AND
RESERVOIR LEVELS AND ICE COVERAGE ON THE RIVERS.

PRECIPITATION...
PRECIPITATION WAS 75 TO 100 PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PAST 30
DAYS OVER MUCH OF THE HSA.


SOIL CONDITIONS...
SOILS ARE MOIST. THIS CAN CAUSE EFFICIENT RUNOFF FROM ANY FUTURE
RAIN.


SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK WAS NOTED ACROSS THE REGION. ANY SNOW
WAS CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF
THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINS.


RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


RIVER ICE CONDITIONS...
HEADWATER RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE NO ICE PROBLEMS.


RIVER FLOWS...
RIVER FLOWS HAVE AVERAGED NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ON
ALL RIVERS.


THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK THROUGH THE NEXT TWO WEEKS...
AN RELATIVELY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION. THIS WILL BRING RAIN AND MAINLY SNOW TO THE AREA...MAINLY
LESS THAN AN INCH IN WATER EQUIVALENT. THIS WILL KEEP THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.


REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...BUCHANAN
AND DICKENSON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST
VIRGINIA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=RLX


RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR LEADING TO FLOODING. HEAVY OR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE YEAR EVEN
WHERE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW NORMAL.

$$



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