Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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502
FNAK51 PAFC 141158
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.DISCUSSION...The upper level low that was over Southcentral
yesterday will exit quickly across the Gulf of Alaska today.
Weak upper level disturbances behind the low combined with
somewhat weaker instability will produce isolated to scattered
showers today. Showers will be a bit more numerous to the north
of the Wrangell Mountains. A ridge of high pressure will build
into Southcentral on Wednesday. Expect marginally warmer and
drier conditions inland, while stronger sea breezes will lead
to slightly cooler/moister conditions along the coast. The
Copper River Valley looks particularly dry, with a southerly
wind helping to mix down drier air from aloft.


AKZ101-150230-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   53 (+3)      34 (+1)      52
RH % (24H TREND)   43-61 (+2)   87 (-4)      36-43
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-5       LGT/VAR      SW 2-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5018                      4355
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  7                      S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  28100                     46200
CWR                10           10           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   59 (+4)      39 (+1)      57
RH % (24H TREND)   42-48 (+3)   90 (0)       33-44
20FTWND(MPH)       W 3-6        SW 0-5       W 4-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5479                      4383
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  6                      S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  27396                     35064
CWR                5            5            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-150230-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   44-51 (+3)   33 (0)       44-52
RH % (24H TREND)   44-61 (+12)  84-90 (0)    36-47
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-6        W 0-5        S 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5684                      5720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  6                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  31462                     45760
CWR                20           20           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           30           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   59 (+4)      38 (+1)      59
RH % (24H TREND)   45 (+2)      90 (0)       40
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-6       SW 1-6       SW 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6112                      5932
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  6                      S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  47757                     54472
CWR                20           20           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-150230-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   51-58 (+2)   36 (0)       51-58
RH % (24H TREND)   40-51 (+3)   84-90 (0)    35-43
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 1-6       SW 1-6       W 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6034                      5721
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  7                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  38213                     54800
CWR                10           10           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   50-56 (+1)   38 (+1)      54
RH % (24H TREND)   42-54 (0)    92 (+1)      46-56
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-8        SW 3-10      W 5-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5545                      4006
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  6                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  24970                     35550
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-150230-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-52 (+1)   33 (+1)      41-53
RH % (24H TREND)   49-67 (+2)   83-93 (0)    40-65
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      W 0-5        SE 2-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3992                      3850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW  6                     SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  23709                     40997
CWR                10           10           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-49 (0)    36 (0)       41-49
RH % (24H TREND)   56-73 (+4)   87-95 (+1)   57-73
20FTWND(MPH)       W 0-5        LGT/VAR      S 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1967                      2339
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW  5                     SE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  14277                     16432
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-150230-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   32-46 (+2)   21-29 (+1)   34-49
RH % (24H TREND)   45-67 (+11)  81-91 (+2)   32-54
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 1-7       NW 2-7       SW 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5476                      6698
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N  7                      SW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  40160                     66451
CWR                20           20           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           50           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   55 (+2)      33 (0)       58
RH % (24H TREND)   37 (+6)      82-91 (+3)   24-30
20FTWND(MPH)       W 1-7        W 2-8        S 4-10 G20
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6286                      7167
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N  6                      S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  42744                     66170
CWR                20           20           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...Driest and windiest conditions on Wednesday along and
near the Copper River.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-150230-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
358 AM AKDT Tue May 14 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   42-51 (+3)   33 (+1)      46-53
RH % (24H TREND)   40-56 (+2)   84 (+1)      31-46
20FTWND(MPH)       W 1-5        SW 3-6       SW 3-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4723                      6111
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  5                      S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  19208                     84357
CWR                20           0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           20           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   60 (+3)      36 (+1)      58
RH % (24H TREND)   35-42 (+3)   87 (0)       32-39
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      S 2-6        S 6-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6454                      7087
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N  3                      S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  21954                     100000
CWR                20           10           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$