Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 200837
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
437 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY ALONG WITH A WARM AND MUGGY AIRMASS. A FEW
SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM MAY BE LEFTOVER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
MUCH OF THE TIME WILL BE RAIN FREE WHILE CONTINUING TO REMAIN WARM.

NYZ001-002-010-011-202115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
437 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           65           79
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  6         S  5         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.43         0.33         0.17
PRECIP DURATION                     7            2            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               68           95           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4410          990         4320
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 18        SW 16         W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               79380        15840        60480
DISPERSION INDEX                   79           16           60
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-202115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
437 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       78           61           77
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  8         S  5         W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.43         0.27         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                     9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               69           97           65
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4350         2060         4770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 18         W 15         W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               78300        30900        76320
DISPERSION INDEX                   78           31           76
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-202115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
437 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           70
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           65           79
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  7         S  6         W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.41         0.51         0.32
PRECIP DURATION                     7            6            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               66           94           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5200          960         4770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW 13         W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72800        12480        62010
DISPERSION INDEX                   73           12           62
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-202115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
437 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           80           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           63           77
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5                     SE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  5      LGT/VAR         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.18         0.51         0.40
PRECIP DURATION                     3            9           12
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           94           70
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5060          890         3840
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 10         S 17         S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               50600        15130        34560
DISPERSION INDEX                   51           15           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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