Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 290233
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms will shift north into
western New York through this evening and north-central NY
overnight as a warm front crosses the region. Showers will
taper off from west to east on Monday. More showers will be
possible Monday night into Tuesday, as a weakening cold front
crosses the region. In fact, mild temperatures and afternoon
showers will be possible through the coming week, as a broad
upper level trough will linger across the region.

NYZ001-002-010-011-290900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
1033 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                    100           90           40            0
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       59           72           55           72
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  8                     SW  9
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  6        SW 12        SW  9        SW 16
Precip amount                    0.17         0.17         0.07         0.00
Precip duration                     5            4            1
Precip begin                     8 PM   Continuing        11 PM
Precip end                 Continuing        11 AM         6 AM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           50           87           47
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
LAL                                 4            4            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            100         5250            0         8650
Transport wind (kt)              S 14        SW 20        SW  8        SW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1400       105000            0       216250
Dispersion Index                    1          105            0          216
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-290900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
1033 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                    Cloudy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           80           40           60
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       57           71           52           70
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  7                     SW  8
PM Wind (mph)                    S  7         W 11        SW  6        SW 11
Precip amount                    0.47         0.07         0.07         0.15
Precip duration                     8            5            1            4
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing        11 PM   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing        11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           45           87           47
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            160         7060            0         7840
Transport wind (kt)              S  7         W 20        SW  9        SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1120       141200            0       156800
Dispersion Index                    1          141            0          157
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-290900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
1033 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           80           40           40
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       60           74           56           73
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  7                     SW  7
PM Wind (mph)                    S  8         W 10        SW  6        SW 10
Precip amount                    0.11         0.18         0.06         0.17
Precip duration                     5            4            1            2
Precip begin                    10 PM   Continuing        12 AM   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing        12 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           45           89           46
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
LAL                                 4            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         7300            0         8640
Transport wind (kt)              S 14         W 19        SW  7        SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       138700            0       172800
Dispersion Index                    0          139            0          173
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-290900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
1033 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     70           90           40           50
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       58           69           53           71
AM Wind (mph)                                SE  9                      S  6
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  7        SW  8         S  6        SW  8
Precip amount                    0.11         0.40         0.05         0.25
Precip duration                     2            8            1            2
Precip begin                     2 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           60           95           54
Haines Index                        3            2            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         5280            0         7230
Transport wind (kt)              S 10         S 12         S 11        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        63360            0       130140
Dispersion Index                    0           63            0          130
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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