Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 121526
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A strong cold front with arctic air will bring snow to the northwest and
southwest mountains. It will be cold and windy behind the front Tuesday into
Wednesday. Another system could bring more widespread light snow to the region
Wednesday night into Thursday.

Outside lake effect snow areas and mountain snow areas, it will be a
relatively cold dry period.

PAZ004-122115-
Warren-
Including the city of Warren
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           90
Temp (24h trend)               29 (0)     12 (-15)           23
RH % (24h trend)              64 (+1)     84 (-16)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  6 G20                  W 11 G18
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 13 G21     W 12 G21     W  9 G18
Precip Amount                    0.23         0.20         0.10
Precip Duration                    12           12           12
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6390         4090         5210
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 23         W 33        NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              138120       102500       158790
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Light snow. Lows around 13. Highs in the mid 20s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
14. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 18. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ005-006-010-011-122115-
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90           80           60
Temp (24h trend)              32 (+2)     10 (-17)           22
RH % (24h trend)              55 (-1)     88 (-12)           49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  7 G20                  W 14 G25
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 13 G24     W 13 G24     W 12 G25
Precip Amount                    0.15         0.09         0.06
Precip Duration                    12           12           12
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5890         3560         5040
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 29        NW 36         W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              155650        84320       155480
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Light snow. Lows around 12. Highs in the lower 20s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
13. Highs in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 17. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-122115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  70           60           50
Temp (24h trend)              34 (+1)     11 (-18)           23
RH % (24h trend)              50 (+2)     80 (-20)           44
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  8 G25                  W 17 G32
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 15 G29     W 16 G32     W 14 G30
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.05         0.04
Precip Duration                    12           12            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6030         3010         4480
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 28        NW 36         W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              164530        85600       134420
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Light snow. Lows around 14. Highs in the mid 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
17. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the lower
30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-122115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90           60           50
Temp (24h trend)               36 (0)      8 (-23)           22
RH % (24h trend)              52 (+6)     80 (-20)           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 11 G35                  W 18 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 18 G35     W 19 G37     W 15 G33
Precip Amount                    0.19         0.06         0.05
Precip Duration                    12            9            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5720         3530         3840
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 35        NW 39         W 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              184970        97330       144960
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            1            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Light snow. Lows around 15. Highs in the upper 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
19. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs around 40. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs around 40. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-122115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              39 (-1)     13 (-19)           28
RH % (24h trend)              42 (+3)     77 (-19)           37
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  7 G27                  W 18 G35
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 16 G33     W 17 G35     W 14 G32
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6210         3240         4250
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 28        NW 37         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              183520        85570       109410
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            1            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Light snow. Lows around 17. Highs in the upper 20s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows around
30. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-122115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  60           30           20
Temp (24h trend)              34 (+3)     11 (-16)           22
RH % (24h trend)              58 (+4)     84 (-12)           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  7 G21                  W 17 G32
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 12 G25     W 15 G27     W 16 G32
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                     7            2            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5860         3690         4950
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 24        NW 33         W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              137650        90980       152090
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow. Lows
around 13. Highs in the lower 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
15. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the lower
30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid
30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-122115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30           10            0
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+2)     15 (-17)           28
RH % (24h trend)              53 (+7)     81 (-19)           40
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 16 G32
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 11 G27     W 14 G29     W 14 G30
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5630         4380         5260
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 26        NW 33        NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              154080       108600       176330
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with light snow likely. Lows around 16.
Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
19. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-122115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       MClear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)               42 (0)     16 (-17)           29
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+2)     69 (-31)           35
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  5 G21                  W 17 G32
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 13 G29     W 16 G30     W 15 G30
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5810         2910         4320
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 26         W 33         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              172250        64270       101690
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            1            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with light snow likely. Lows around 19.
Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ058-122115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
1026 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30           20            0
Temp (24h trend)              40 (+3)     16 (-15)           28
RH % (24h trend)              58 (+7)     75 (-17)           44
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 16 G30
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 11 G24     W 14 G27     W 15 G30
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4980         3830         5220
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 25        NW 33        NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              124230        85680       165200
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with light snow likely. Lows around 16.
Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
19. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 19. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$



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