Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 180835
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will move through the area today accompanied by
showers and scattered thunderstorms. Showers will taper off this
evening and much of the overnight will be dry.

Saturday will see increasing clouds as a weak disturbance aloft
races into the state. A few showers will be possible, mainly over
central and western areas in the afternoon.

PAZ004>006-010-011-182115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50           10           50
Temp (24h trend)               82 (0)      58 (-5)           77
RH % (24h trend)              54 (+5)      100 (0)           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  6                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  9         W  6      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                     4            1            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing         8 AM
Precip End                 Continuing         2 AM   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5570          670         5810
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 16         W 13         W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               98910            0       101250
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-182115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  60            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              82 (-1)      59 (-6)           79
RH % (24h trend)              55 (+7)      100 (0)           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  5                      W  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  7         W  6         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.19         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                     9                         2
Precip Begin                     6 AM                      2 PM
Precip End                       6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4790          860         6300
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 15         W 14         W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               94670          960       110860
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-182115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  70            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              80 (-3)      60 (-5)           78
RH % (24h trend)             60 (+14)      100 (0)           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  7 G18                  W  7 G18
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G17         W  7         W  6
Precip Amount                    0.12         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                     7                         2
Precip Begin                     6 AM                      2 PM
Precip End                       6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4250          250         5630
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 17         W 13         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               80820         1490       105170
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  1-8 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-182115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, and Bedford
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       MClear        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  80            0           20
Temp (24h trend)              84 (-1)      61 (-5)           82
RH % (24h trend)              52 (+4)      100 (0)           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  5                      W  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  7         W  5         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.18         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                     6                         0
Precip Begin                     6 AM                      2 PM
Precip End                       6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4540          220         6130
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 16         W 10         W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               80000            0       101500
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-182115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  60            0           30
Temp (24h trend)               81 (0)      60 (-5)           78
RH % (24h trend)              53 (+4)      100 (0)           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)             S  6                      W  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  8        SW  5         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.34         0.00         0.06
Precip Duration                     9                         2
Precip Begin                     6 AM                      2 PM
Precip End                       6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3060          120         6050
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 15         W  6         W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               45330            0        89280
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-182115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       MClear        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  80           10           20
Temp (24h trend)              84 (-1)      63 (-3)           83
RH % (24h trend)              57 (+9)      100 (0)           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)             S  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.41         0.07         0.02
Precip Duration                     8            2            0
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing         2 PM
Precip End                 Continuing         2 AM         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3680            0         6090
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 16        SW  6         W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               73100            0        81890
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            2
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ035-036-056>059-063>066-182115-
Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-
York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport,
Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg,
York, and Lancaster
435 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       MClear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100           20            0
Temp (24h trend)               86 (0)      63 (-5)           84
RH % (24h trend)              53 (+4)      100 (0)           44
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)             S  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6      LGT/VAR         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.34         0.14         0.00
Precip Duration                     5            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5180            0         5810
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 17        SW  7         W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               95040            0        76180
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES  1-8 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$



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