Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 281945
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL BRING WARMER TEMPS
TOMORROW...INTO THE MID 80S. THIS FRONT MAY TOUCH OFF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SLIPS THROUGH THE STATE.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 6 AM UNTIL
                    7 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8540-9040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......820-1020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3640-4140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (900).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    2 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7950-8450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2140).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3640-4140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6910-7410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6950-7450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2180).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

SF



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