Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 230803
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...High pressure continues to provide quiet weather across
southeast Michigan today as high temperatures climb to near 70. Dry
airmass will quickly burn off morning dew and frost before RH values
drop below 30 percent this afternoon. Winds will remain light as they
emerge out of the west this morning. Similar conditions will occur on
Monday although with slightly increased dewpoints which will drop RH
values into the 30 to 40 percent range.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
403 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 4 pm then mostly
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of frost until
                    8 am.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7050-7550 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming west
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1020).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4990-5490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (800).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-231915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
403 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) until 4 pm then mostly
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost until
                    8 am.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6750-7250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming west 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1160).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........89-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph diminishing to
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5080-5580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (800).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
403 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Widespread frost until
                    8 am.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5440-5940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (760).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming east in
                    the late evening and early morning then
                    becoming northeast after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming east 10
                    to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4140-4640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming east 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (780).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

$$

CB



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