Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 280826
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
326 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will be well above normal today and Wednesday as warm
front lifts north of the area. Record high temperatures will be
possible on Wednesday. A cold front will bring a chance for showers
and thunderstorms late Wednesday through Thursday morning, followed
by a return to seasonable temperatures late week. Even cooler
temperatures are expected for the start of the weekend followed by
a gradual warming for the start of next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-010030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
326 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   3            1            2
Min/Max Temp          79           62           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  8         SW 12 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  9         S  9         SW 17 G24
Precip amount         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2                         1
Inversion             67/0900      1900         70/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        55           98           56
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5230                      4050
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     SW 37
Ventilation rate      115060                    149850
ADI early             60 Gen good  14 Gen poor  64 Good
ADI late              69 Good      10 poor      96 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
80 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-010030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
326 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   3            1            2
Min/Max Temp          78           61           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        S  8         SW 13 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  9         S  9         SW 17 G24
Precip amount         0.06         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             64/0900      1900         70/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        56           100          51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5340                      5620
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      SW 35
Ventilation rate      117480                    196700
ADI early             46 Gen good  14 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              68 Good      10 poor      108 Very good
Max LVORI early       9            6            5
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
32 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 26 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-010030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
326 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          79           62           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  8         SW 12
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         S  9         SW 17 G24
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             68/0900      1900         71/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        57           98           54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5370                      4960
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      SW 32
Ventilation rate      123510                    158720
ADI early             54 Gen good  14 Gen poor  59 Gen good
ADI late              77 Good      10 poor      87 Good
Max LVORI early       10           5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
61 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-010030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
326 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          79           61           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        S  7         SW 13 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         S  9         SW 18 G24
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             63/0900      1900         70/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        48           99           46
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5750                      6020
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     SW 37
Ventilation rate      120750                    222740
ADI early             34 Fair      12 poor      56 Gen good
ADI late              69 Good      10 poor      118 Very good
Max LVORI early       6            5            5
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 68 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-010030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
326 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          80           62           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        S  8         SW 12 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         S  9         SW 17 G24
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1                         1
Inversion             66/0900      1900         71/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5920                      5880
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     SW 35
Ventilation rate      124320                    205800
ADI early             48 Gen good  14 Gen poor  60 Gen good
ADI late              73 Good      9 poor       114 Very good
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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