Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 282020
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
420 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN SUNDAY...
...SOME WIND GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE NIGHT. VERY DRY AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL ALLOW FOR RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES TO HOVER AROUND 30 PERCENT IN SOME LOCATIONS INTO THE
EVENING. ON SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST...WITH
DRY AIR REMAINING IN PLACE WHILE TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK INTO THE
50S. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...DOWN TO LESS
THAN 15 PERCENT FOR SOME LOCATIONS. ADDITIONALLY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF AROUND 10 MPH WILL GUST TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH AT TIMES ON
SUNDAY. A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.

KYZ068-079-083-084-290845-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
420 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH THIS EVENING...
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......10-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS OF 15 TO 20
                    MPH POSSIBLE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (62200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40 TO 45.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.15 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 50S.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (44000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE - 0.02 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-290845-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG
420 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS OF 15 TO 20
                    MPH POSSIBLE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (67400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.10 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE - 0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-104-106>120-290845-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
420 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS OF 15 TO 20
                    MPH POSSIBLE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (54600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.15 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 50S.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (50300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE - 0.05 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND
70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GREIF



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