Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 300818
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
418 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH A WARM
AND MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND DISTURBANCES
MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TO BRING A THREAT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE BOUNDARY SHOULD
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING AND BRIEFLY
SETTLE SOUTH OF THE AREA TO BRING DRY WEATHER FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY WILL RETURN NORTH FOR
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND USHER IN ANOTHER PERIOD OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER.

KYZ068-079-083-084-302030-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
418 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (67400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................21 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.19 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................38 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............9.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.14 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....90.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (89800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................25 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-302030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
418 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (62000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................20 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................25 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.17 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....81.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (80700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................32 INCREASING TO 44 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-302030-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
418 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (64100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................26 INCREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.20 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................31 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (72300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$
JP



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