Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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895
FNUS54 KMEG 191007
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH
THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. MEANWHILE, A FEW
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND AREAS OF WEST TENNESSEE
NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

SOME PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR OVERNIGHT.

A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS GENERALLY EXPECTED ON FRIDAY
AS THE MIDSOUTH WILL BE BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND THE NEXT ONE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     80           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.46         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      11           1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      58 (+11)     51 (+7)      65
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (+5)      100 (+4)     67
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 2-6                     S 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 2-6       S 3-7        S 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    113                       550
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   370                       1806
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    198                       636
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   651                       2088
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  4                     S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     792                       5088
CATEGORY DAY          1                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64                        58
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S  7                      S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 16                      S 20
DISPERSION INDEX      9            28           32
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND
50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     90           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.66         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      11           1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      61 (+9)      53 (+7)      69
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (+10)     100 (+2)     62
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 2-6                    S 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7        S 4-8        S 9-13
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    219                       561
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   718                       1839
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    281                       623
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   921                       2043
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  6                     S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1686                      5607
CATEGORY DAY          1                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  8                     S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 18                     S 22
DISPERSION INDEX      25           19           34
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             C            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-192315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          80           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    1.23         0.21         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           7
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (+14)     54 (+9)      67
RH % (24H TREND)      88 (+10)     100 (+3)     63
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8                    S 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 2-6        S 2-6        S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    137                       622
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   450                       2041
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    257                       743
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   844                       2438
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  4                      S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1028                      6687
CATEGORY DAY          1                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S  9                      S  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 20                      S 19
DISPERSION INDEX      13           30           30
LAL                   5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-192315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          60           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    1.39         0.17         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           5
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      65 (+12)     55 (+7)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      86 (+11)     99 (0)       60
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 3-7                    S 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7        S 2-6        S 7-11 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    300                       650
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   984                       2133
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    420                       774
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1379                      2538
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  6                     S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2520                      6966
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  9                     S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 20                     S 19
DISPERSION INDEX      19           21           38
LAL                   5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    1.26         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      66 (+11)     55 (+4)      72
RH % (24H TREND)      85 (+10)     99 (+1)      59
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7                     S 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 4-8       S 4-8        S 8-12 G18
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    574                       673
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1884                      2207
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    646                       744
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2119                      2442
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  8                     S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     5168                      6696
CATEGORY DAY          3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67                        64
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  8                     S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 18                     S 22
DISPERSION INDEX      43           16           41
LAL                   5            2            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
407 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          70           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    1.84         0.18         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           7
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      67 (+9)      56 (+3)      73
RH % (24H TREND)      85 (+15)     96 (-2)      57
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 2-6                    S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 2-6       SW 2-6       S 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    391                       1024
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1283                      3358
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    515                       1147
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1689                      3764
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  6                     SW  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3090                      10323
CATEGORY DAY          2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67                        66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SW  9                     S  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SW 20                     S 19
DISPERSION INDEX      23           14           48
LAL                   5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             D            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND
60. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KRM



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