Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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944
FNUS54 KMEG 140949
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION TO THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH TUESDAY. ARCTIC AIR LINGERING
ACROSS THE NORTH WILL PROVIDE FOR WINTER WEATHER TODAY...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. FARTHER SOUTH RAIN
IS EXPECTED...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST
TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-142315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     80           80           50
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.16         0.18         0.06
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      7            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      36 (+4)      33 (+9)      47
RH % (24H TREND)      58 (+21)     99 (+33)     73
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 7-11                   N 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       E 2-6        NW 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    435                       150
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1428                      493
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    521                       237
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1710                      776
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  6                     N  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     N  7
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3126                      711
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 33                        47
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  6                     N  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 13                     N  9
DISPERSION INDEX      32           8            12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-142315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           90           80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.95         0.57
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            12           9
PRECIP BEGINS         12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      46 (+7)      40 (+13)     50
RH % (24H TREND)      52 (+21)     100 (+36)    77
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 6-10                   N 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 6-10       SE 3-7       NW 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    442                       409
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1450                      1343
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    504                       471
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1654                      1546
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  6                      N  5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      N 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3024                      2355
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46                        49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S  7                      N  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 16                      N 12
DISPERSION INDEX      29           11           20
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-142315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     80           90           70
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.28         0.43         0.34
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      7            12           9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      34 (+4)      34 (+13)     44
RH % (24H TREND)      61 (+27)     100 (+30)    81
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       SE 2-6       N 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    348                       85
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1142                      279
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    469                       205
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1539                      673
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  6                     N  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     N  8
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2814                      820
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 31                        45
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  8                     NE  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 17                     NE  9
DISPERSION INDEX      33           5            6
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-142315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           90           90
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   RAIN         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.08         0.85         0.78
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            12           12
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (+7)      38 (+14)     48
RH % (24H TREND)      47 (+16)     100 (+38)    77
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 5-9        SE 2-6       NW 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    308                       126
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1012                      413
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    431                       239
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1414                      785
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  7                      N  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      N  9
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3017                      956
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 38                        49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE  8                     NW  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 17                     NW 13
DISPERSION INDEX      29           9            10
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-142315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           90           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.74         1.30
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            12           12
PRECIP BEGINS         12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (+8)      46 (+17)     53
RH % (24H TREND)      45 (+18)     100 (+37)    76
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 6-10                   SW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 6-10       S 4-8        NW 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    402                       274
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1319                      900
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    474                       346
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1554                      1135
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  7                      NW  5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3318                      1730
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 51                        54
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S  9                      W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 19                      W 17
DISPERSION INDEX      26           17           29
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             C            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-142315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
349 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           80           90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.37         1.13
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   12           12
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      47 (+6)      45 (+18)     56
RH % (24H TREND)      38 (+15)     98 (+38)     74
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8                    S 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 5-9        S 5-9        W 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    325                       318
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1066                      1042
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    449                       441
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1474                      1448
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  6                      W  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2694                      2646
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 44                        56
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S  8                      SW 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 19                      SW 22
DISPERSION INDEX      26           14           29
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             C            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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