Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS54 KMRX 121516 AAA
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Much colder air will push in today and tonight behind a
departing cold front. Temperatures will remain below normal through
Wednesday.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131630-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-15)  15-20 (-14)  31-36
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+12)  68-73 (-24)  33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G27                  W  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 14 G32    NW 14 G30    SW  9 G25
Precip type           showers      snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 29                     SW 16
Dispersion            111 Very good             29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G27                  W 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 18 G32    NW 17 G30    SW 11 G25

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows in the 20s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the 20s. West winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and slight chance of
snow. Highs in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131630-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (-13)  12-17 (-15)  30-35
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+6)   68-73 (-17)  33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G35                  W 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 17 G40    NW 18 G42    SW  9 G25
Precip type           showers      snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.07         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3700                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 35                     W 15
Dispersion            107 Very good             16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G35                  W 14 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 22 G40    NW 23 G42    SW 11 G25

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 19 to 29. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the 20s. West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the 30s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-131630-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (-14)  13-18 (-14)  34-39
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+7)   74-79 (-14)  32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 12 G36                 W 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 16 G38    NW 15 G38    SW 11 G36
Precip type           showers      snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           20           0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2800                      900
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 28                     W 15
Dispersion            63 Good                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 15 G36                 W 14 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 20 G38    NW 19 G38    SW 14 G36

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
West winds 5 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the 20s. East winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-131630-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-14)  16-21 (-11)  38-43
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+10)  79-84 (-15)  31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G30                 W  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 14 G30    NW 11 G29    SW  9 G25
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            1 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      1200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 24                     SW 12
Dispersion            63 Good                   11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 14 G30                 W  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 17 G30    NW 14 G29    SW 12 G25

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the mid 20s to lower 30s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Not as cool.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-131630-
Nantahala National Forest-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-13)  15-20 (-9)   37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+8)   86-91 (-11)  33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G34                 W  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G34    NW 12 G35    SW  9 G23
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   2900                      1300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     W 10
DISPERSION            63 Good                   11 Poor
MAX LVORI             4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G34                 W 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 19 G34    NW 16 G35    SW 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the mid 20s to lower 30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Not as cool.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131630-
East Tennessee District East-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-12)  16-21 (-14)  35-40
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+9)   67-72 (-18)  31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 11 G31                  W  9 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 15 G32    W 14 G31     SW  8 G20
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      SW 15
Dispersion            108 Very good             27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G31                  W 11 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 19 G32    W 17 G31     SW 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the mid to upper 20s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph in the
evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131630-
East Tennessee District West-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-13)  19-24 (-14)  38-43
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (+4)   67-72 (-9)   31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G28                 SW  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 13 G28    NW 10 G26    SW 10 G26
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            4 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4200                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 24                     SW 16
Dispersion            88 Good                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 13 G28                 SW  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 16 G28    NW 13 G26    SW 12 G26

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s to lower
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in
the mid 20s to lower 30s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph in the
evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-131630-
Cumberland District South-
1016 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017 /916 AM CST Tue Dec 12 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-13)  20-25 (-13)  41-46
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (+4)   71-76 (-5)   30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G28                 SW  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 13 G29    NW  9 G23    SW 10 G24
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3600                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 24                     SW 16
Dispersion            74 Good                   27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 14 G28                 SW  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 16 G29    NW 11 G23    SW 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 30. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows near
30. Northeast winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.