Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 291334
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
WITH SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-301445-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (+4)   62-67 (+3)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (+3)   86-91 (-6)   49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G21                  S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     S  5 G16     S 12 G28
Precip type           tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          2 PM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     S 23
Dispersion            67 Good                   80 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G21                  S 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G21     S  7 G16     S 16 G28

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-301445-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+3)   60-65 (+2)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (0)    87-92 (-1)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G18                  S 11 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G18     S  7 G18     S 12 G29
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           20
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        8 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.02         0.02
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6900                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     S 23
Dispersion            61 Good                   56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G18                  S 14 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G18     S  9 G18     S 15 G29

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-301445-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+4)   60-65 (-2)   74-79
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-4)   85-90 (+2)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G25                  S 14 G34
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G25     S 10 G24     S 15 G37
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           20
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6900                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      S 29
Dispersion            77 Good                   62 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G25                  S 17 G34
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G25     S 11 G24     S 19 G37

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds
10 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to
upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid
60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-301445-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (+3)   62-67 (-4)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-3)   85-90 (+4)   49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G26                  S 12 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G26     S  9 G23     S 14 G31
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           20
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM        8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7000                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 25                      S 28
Dispersion            109 Very good             84 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G26                  S 15 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G26     S 11 G23     S 18 G31

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-301445-
Nantahala National Forest-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   60-65 (-2)   77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   90-95 (-1)   49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G23                  SE 11 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     S  7 G19     SE 13 G29
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 24
DISPERSION            99 Good                   75 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  SE 14 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S  9 G19     SE 17 G29

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to
upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-301445-
East Tennessee District East-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (+2)   62-67 (+2)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (+1)   87-92 (-4)   48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G19                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G19     S  5         S 12 G26
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          2 PM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6300                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     S 23
Dispersion            71 Good                   80 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G19                  S 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G19     S  6         S 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-301445-
East Tennessee District West-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      86-91 (+6)   64-69 (0)    81-86
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-3)   84-89 (-2)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G26                  S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G26     S  6 G17     S 13 G28
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          5 PM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 25                     S 25
Dispersion            102 Very good             95 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G26                  S 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G26     S  8 G17     S 16 G28

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows near 50. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-301445-
Cumberland District South-
934 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017 /834 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (+5)   64-69 (0)    82-87
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (-4)   84-89 (-7)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G29                  S 11 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G29     S  8 G23     S 14 G31
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          2 PM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 28                      S 28
Dispersion            118 Very good             107 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G29                  S 15 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G29     S 10 G23     S 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows near 50. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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