Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 140722
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN
REGION TODAY...WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
AHEAD OF IT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS...PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING...WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY
MORNING...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES MOVING INTO THE AREA
FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   63-68 (-1)   74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   95-100 (+4)  61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.79         0.19
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 13
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  5        LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-5)   63-68 (+1)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   95-100 (+3)  60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            6
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.52         0.27
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 14
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-150830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   65-70 (+2)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    91-96 (+1)   56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  7         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            6
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.90         0.39
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 12
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  9 G18     W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-150830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   67-72 (+3)   76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   91-96 (-2)   57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.69         0.39
LAL                   3            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 10
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  7 G15    NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-150830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   66-71 (+6)   76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   89-94 (-8)   56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  6         W  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.59         0.45
LAL                   3            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W  9
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9        W  7         W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   66-71 (+2)   76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.89         0.30
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 13
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   66-71 (0)    77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   95-100 (+4)  53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.49         0.21
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 10
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  6        LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   68-73 (0)    78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   92-97 (+3)   56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.92         0.26
LAL                   4            5            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W  9
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W  5         NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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