Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 081932
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND SIGNIFICANT WINDS MOST AREAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL CONTINUE AS A RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. THE CHILLY AIRMASS WILL STICK AROUND
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND PRECEDING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL BY SUNDAY NIGHT...AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-11)  29-34 (-9)   13-18        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-14)  39-44 (+3)   83-88        29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G24    W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW  2
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    W  9 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-14)  27-32 (-9)   13-18        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-12)  37-42 (+1)   76-81        24-29
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G25                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G30    NW 10 G25    NW  5 G17    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W  3
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G25                 NW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G30    NW 13 G25    NW  7 G17    NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-092045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (-15)  29-34 (-7)   14-19        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-9)   34-39 (-5)   72-77        23-28
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G26    NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W  3
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G26    NW 10 G19    N  5         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-092045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-15)  34-39 (-6)   16-21        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-9)   31-36 (-8)   81-86        25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G21    NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      SW  2
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW 11 G20    N  5         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-092045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-16)  35-40 (-6)   16-21        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   31-36 (-8)   83-88        25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G21    NW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW  2
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW 10 G21    N  5         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-12)  32-37 (-8)   15-20        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-11)  33-38 (-2)   77-82        27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G23    W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      N  1
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-10)  33-38 (-6)   16-21        37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-11)  32-37 (-3)   83-88        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G21    NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     E  2
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 29. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-092045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
232 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016 /132 PM CST THU DEC 8 2016/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-12)  34-39 (-5)   16-21        38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-12)  30-35 (-5)   85-90        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G19                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    N  7 G16     N  5         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      E  3
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G19                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    N  9 G16     N  6         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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