Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
000
FNUS55 KPSR 221157
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
457 AM MST WED MAY 22 2013
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER AREA-WIDE TODAY AND THURSDAY DUE TO
GUSTY AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...
.DISCUSSION...
AN UNUSUALLY STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY AND
THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH SKIES WILL BE CLEAR OVER THE REGION...MODERATELY
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL PRODUCE BREEZY TO WINDY AFTERNOONS.
THE STRONGEST SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AREA-WIDE THIS AFTERNOON...
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...THEN RE-DEVELOP AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER...BUT JUST SHORT OF RED FLAG WARNING
CRITERIA ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR TO POOR...EXCEPT
GOOD RECOVERY IN SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-230000-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
457 AM MST WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-102.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................6-11 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-33 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-99.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 90-99. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 90-98. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 89-97. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 87-96.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 88-96.
$$
AZZ133-230000-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
457 AM MST WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-98.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................6-11 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-64.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-32 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-96.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-63. HIGHS 80-95. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 80-94. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 78-93. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-62. HIGHS 77-91.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-62. HIGHS 77-91.
$$
AZZ131-CAZ231-230000-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
457 AM MST WED MAY 22 2013 /457 AM PDT WED MAY 22 2013/
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................96-102.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-67.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-96.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................5-11 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-67. HIGHS 91-97. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-67. HIGHS 91-97. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-67. HIGHS 90-96. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-67. HIGHS 89-94.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-68. HIGHS 90-96.
$$
CAZ230-230000-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
457 AM PDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................78-96.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-16 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................53-66.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-42 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................72-90.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-18 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-66. HIGHS 75-92. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-66. HIGHS 74-91. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-67. HIGHS 73-91. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-67. HIGHS 73-90.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-67. HIGHS 75-92.
$$
CAZ232-230000-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
457 AM PDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-100.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................19-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-94.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................6-11 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-69. HIGHS 86-95. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-69. HIGHS 86-95. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-69. HIGHS 85-94. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-69. HIGHS 84-93.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-69. HIGHS 86-95.
$$
.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY MAY 29TH THROUGH FRIDAY MAY 31ST...DRY
WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.