Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 192216
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

ECC029-201630-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...Gusty northwest winds will bring elevated fire danger
Friday into Friday night for portions of Southwest California...

...Gusty north winds with warming and drying trend will bring
elevated fire danger to much of Southwest California on
Saturday...with critical conditions possible in the mountains...

...Gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and dry conditions will bring
elevated to critical fire weather conditions to Southwest California
Sunday through Tuesday...

A weakening cold front will move through the region bringing a
slight chance of rain showers or drizzle to many areas overnight
into Friday morning. The main impact will be increasing northwest
winds with and behind the front which will bring elevated fire
danger to many areas Friday into Friday night. The strongest winds
tonight through Friday night will be focused across the mountains,
Antelope Valley, Central Coast, and Santa Barbara County south coast
where gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common. Humidites are not
expected to be sufficiently low during this time to warrant any Red
Flag Warnings.

Northerly flow on Saturday and Saturday night is expected to bring a
warming and drying trend along with elevated fire danger to the
region. The strongest winds during this period will remain focused
across the mountains, especially the Interstate 5 corridor and Santa
Ynez mountains where gusts between 40 and 50 mph can be expected. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued accordingly for the mountains
beginning Saturday.

From Sunday through Tuesday, there is the potential for a prolonged
duration of gusty Santa Ana winds hot and very dry conditions. The
strongest Santa Ana winds during this period is expected to be
Monday through Tuesday when gusts between 35 and 50 mph will be
possible across wind prone passes and canyons of Los Angeles and
Ventura counties. Record breaking triple digit heat and humidities
lowering into the single digits and lower teens will be possible
during this time. In addition, very warm and dry conditions during
the overnight hours in the mountains, foothills, and wind prone
areas will add to this fire weather threat during this long duration
of dangerous fire weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in
effect for the mountains and  valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties Sunday through Tuesday, and may need to be expanded into
coastal areas as we draw closer to the event.


...Discussion from Monterey...

Incoming cold front is on track with rain forecast to reach the
North Bay this evening, tracking over the Bay Area overnight and
exiting the Monterey Bay area by morning. The coastal hills of
Sonoma will see the most rain with the Sonoma  fires expected to
receive wetting rains, with lesser amounts over  the Atlas Fire in
Napa county. The interior valleys of the Bay  Area will see trace
amounts of rainfall while the Bear fire in  Santa Cruz is expected
to see a wetting rain overnight as well.  Breezy northwest winds and
cooler on Friday behind the front.  Significant warming and drying
trend starts Saturday and lasts  through early next week as strong
high pressure rebuilds.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-201630-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Gusty northwest winds will bring elevated fire danger Friday
into Friday night for portions of Southwest California...

...Gusty north winds with warming and drying trend will bring
elevated fire danger to much of Southwest California on
Saturday...with critical conditions possible in the mountains...

...Gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and dry conditions will bring
elevated to critical fire weather conditions to Southwest California
Sunday through Tuesday...

A weakening cold front will move through the region bringing a
slight chance of rain showers or drizzle to many areas overnight
into Friday morning. The main impact will be increasing northwest
winds with and behind the front which will bring elevated fire
danger to many areas Friday into Friday night. The strongest winds
tonight through Friday night will be focused across the mountains,
Antelope Valley, Central Coast, and Santa Barbara County south coast
where gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common. Humidites are not
expected to be sufficiently low during this time to warrant any Red
Flag Warnings.

Northerly flow on Saturday and Saturday night is expected to bring a
warming and drying trend along with elevated fire danger to the
region. The strongest winds during this period will remain focused
across the mountains, especially the Interstate 5 corridor and Santa
Ynez mountains where gusts between 40 and 50 mph can be expected. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued accordingly for the mountains
beginning Saturday.

From Sunday through Tuesday, there is the potential for a prolonged
duration of gusty Santa Ana winds hot and very dry conditions. The
strongest Santa Ana winds during this period is expected to be
Monday through Tuesday when gusts between 35 and 50 mph will be
possible across wind prone passes and canyons of Los Angeles and
Ventura counties. Record breaking triple digit heat and humidities
lowering into the single digits and lower teens will be possible
during this time. In addition, very warm and dry conditions during
the overnight hours in the mountains, foothills, and wind prone
areas will add to this fire weather threat during this long duration
of dangerous fire weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in
effect for the mountains and  valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties Sunday through Tuesday, and may need to be expanded into
coastal areas as we draw closer to the event.


$$

ECC031-201630-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Gusty northwest winds will bring elevated fire danger Friday
into Friday night for portions of Southwest California...

...Gusty north winds with warming and drying trend will bring
elevated fire danger to much of Southwest California on
Saturday...with critical conditions possible in the mountains...

...Gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and dry conditions will bring
elevated to critical fire weather conditions to Southwest California
Sunday through Tuesday...

A weakening cold front will move through the region bringing a
slight chance of rain showers or drizzle to many areas overnight
into Friday morning. The main impact will be increasing northwest
winds with and behind the front which will bring elevated fire
danger to many areas Friday into Friday night. The strongest winds
tonight through Friday night will be focused across the mountains,
Antelope Valley, Central Coast, and Santa Barbara County south coast
where gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common. Humidites are not
expected to be sufficiently low during this time to warrant any Red
Flag Warnings.

Northerly flow on Saturday and Saturday night is expected to bring a
warming and drying trend along with elevated fire danger to the
region. The strongest winds during this period will remain focused
across the mountains, especially the Interstate 5 corridor and Santa
Ynez mountains where gusts between 40 and 50 mph can be expected. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued accordingly for the mountains
beginning Saturday.

From Sunday through Tuesday, there is the potential for a prolonged
duration of gusty Santa Ana winds hot and very dry conditions. The
strongest Santa Ana winds during this period is expected to be
Monday through Tuesday when gusts between 35 and 50 mph will be
possible across wind prone passes and canyons of Los Angeles and
Ventura counties. Record breaking triple digit heat and humidities
lowering into the single digits and lower teens will be possible
during this time. In addition, very warm and dry conditions during
the overnight hours in the mountains, foothills, and wind prone
areas will add to this fire weather threat during this long duration
of dangerous fire weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in
effect for the mountains and  valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties Sunday through Tuesday, and may need to be expanded into
coastal areas as we draw closer to the event.


$$

ECC024-201630-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Gusty northwest winds will bring elevated fire danger Friday
into Friday night for portions of Southwest California...

...Gusty north winds with warming and drying trend will bring
elevated fire danger to much of Southwest California on
Saturday...with critical conditions possible in the mountains...

...Gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and dry conditions will bring
elevated to critical fire weather conditions to Southwest California
Sunday through Tuesday...

A weakening cold front will move through the region bringing a
slight chance of rain showers or drizzle to many areas overnight
into Friday morning. The main impact will be increasing northwest
winds with and behind the front which will bring elevated fire
danger to many areas Friday into Friday night. The strongest winds
tonight through Friday night will be focused across the mountains,
Antelope Valley, Central Coast, and Santa Barbara County south coast
where gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common. Humidites are not
expected to be sufficiently low during this time to warrant any Red
Flag Warnings.

Northerly flow on Saturday and Saturday night is expected to bring a
warming and drying trend along with elevated fire danger to the
region. The strongest winds during this period will remain focused
across the mountains, especially the Interstate 5 corridor and Santa
Ynez mountains where gusts between 40 and 50 mph can be expected. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued accordingly for the mountains
beginning Saturday.

From Sunday through Tuesday, there is the potential for a prolonged
duration of gusty Santa Ana winds hot and very dry conditions. The
strongest Santa Ana winds during this period is expected to be
Monday through Tuesday when gusts between 35 and 50 mph will be
possible across wind prone passes and canyons of Los Angeles and
Ventura counties. Record breaking triple digit heat and humidities
lowering into the single digits and lower teens will be possible
during this time. In addition, very warm and dry conditions during
the overnight hours in the mountains, foothills, and wind prone
areas will add to this fire weather threat during this long duration
of dangerous fire weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in
effect for the mountains and  valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties Sunday through Tuesday, and may need to be expanded into
coastal areas as we draw closer to the event.


$$

ECC032-201630-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Gusty northwest winds will bring elevated fire danger Friday
into Friday night for portions of Southwest California...

...Gusty north winds with warming and drying trend will bring
elevated fire danger to much of Southwest California on
Saturday...with critical conditions possible in the mountains...

...Gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and dry conditions will bring
elevated to critical fire weather conditions to Southwest California
Sunday through Tuesday...

A weakening cold front will move through the region bringing a
slight chance of rain showers or drizzle to many areas overnight
into Friday morning. The main impact will be increasing northwest
winds with and behind the front which will bring elevated fire
danger to many areas Friday into Friday night. The strongest winds
tonight through Friday night will be focused across the mountains,
Antelope Valley, Central Coast, and Santa Barbara County south coast
where gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common. Humidites are not
expected to be sufficiently low during this time to warrant any Red
Flag Warnings.

Northerly flow on Saturday and Saturday night is expected to bring a
warming and drying trend along with elevated fire danger to the
region. The strongest winds during this period will remain focused
across the mountains, especially the Interstate 5 corridor and Santa
Ynez mountains where gusts between 40 and 50 mph can be expected. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued accordingly for the mountains
beginning Saturday.

From Sunday through Tuesday, there is the potential for a prolonged
duration of gusty Santa Ana winds hot and very dry conditions. The
strongest Santa Ana winds during this period is expected to be
Monday through Tuesday when gusts between 35 and 50 mph will be
possible across wind prone passes and canyons of Los Angeles and
Ventura counties. Record breaking triple digit heat and humidities
lowering into the single digits and lower teens will be possible
during this time. In addition, very warm and dry conditions during
the overnight hours in the mountains, foothills, and wind prone
areas will add to this fire weather threat during this long duration
of dangerous fire weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in
effect for the mountains and  valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties Sunday through Tuesday, and may need to be expanded into
coastal areas as we draw closer to the event.


$$

ECC030-201630-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
316 PM PDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Gusty northwest winds will bring elevated fire danger Friday
into Friday night for portions of Southwest California...

...Gusty north winds with warming and drying trend will bring
elevated fire danger to much of Southwest California on
Saturday...with critical conditions possible in the mountains...

...Gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and dry conditions will bring
elevated to critical fire weather conditions to Southwest California
Sunday through Tuesday...

A weakening cold front will move through the region bringing a
slight chance of rain showers or drizzle to many areas overnight
into Friday morning. The main impact will be increasing northwest
winds with and behind the front which will bring elevated fire
danger to many areas Friday into Friday night. The strongest winds
tonight through Friday night will be focused across the mountains,
Antelope Valley, Central Coast, and Santa Barbara County south coast
where gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common. Humidites are not
expected to be sufficiently low during this time to warrant any Red
Flag Warnings.

Northerly flow on Saturday and Saturday night is expected to bring a
warming and drying trend along with elevated fire danger to the
region. The strongest winds during this period will remain focused
across the mountains, especially the Interstate 5 corridor and Santa
Ynez mountains where gusts between 40 and 50 mph can be expected. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued accordingly for the mountains
beginning Saturday.

From Sunday through Tuesday, there is the potential for a prolonged
duration of gusty Santa Ana winds hot and very dry conditions. The
strongest Santa Ana winds during this period is expected to be
Monday through Tuesday when gusts between 35 and 50 mph will be
possible across wind prone passes and canyons of Los Angeles and
Ventura counties. Record breaking triple digit heat and humidities
lowering into the single digits and lower teens will be possible
during this time. In addition, very warm and dry conditions during
the overnight hours in the mountains, foothills, and wind prone
areas will add to this fire weather threat during this long duration
of dangerous fire weather conditions. A Fire Weather Watch is in
effect for the mountains and  valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura
counties Sunday through Tuesday, and may need to be expanded into
coastal areas as we draw closer to the event.


$$


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