Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 302219
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ECC029-011630-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY
BRINGING A LONG DURATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
VERY LOW HUMIDITIES. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN
OVER NEVADA WEDNESDAY, PEAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS
WILL SET UP A PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES, THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
AND BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS. THERE WILL
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND DURING THE INITIAL ONSET OF NORTHEAST
WINDS SUCH THAT HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AT
LEAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. AT THAT TIME, A
SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS OFFSHORE FLOW PEAKS IN
STRENGTH, WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LIKELY REMAINING
THAT WAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN A
DECREASE IN SANTA ANA WINDS FRIDAY MORNING BUT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
 COOL SLIGHTLY STARTING SUNDAY, HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL  AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...OFFSHORE WINDS IN THE HILLS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE DISTRICT INITIATING A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
BE OVER THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS AND PEAK EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. THE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
ALLOW FOR PLUMMETING HUMIDITY VALUES. THE PERSISTENT OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE DISTRICT WITH POOR NIGHT TIME HUMIDITY RECOVERY THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-011630-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY
BRINGING A LONG DURATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
VERY LOW HUMIDITIES. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN
OVER NEVADA WEDNESDAY, PEAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS
WILL SET UP A PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES, THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
AND BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS. THERE WILL
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND DURING THE INITIAL ONSET OF NORTHEAST
WINDS SUCH THAT HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AT
LEAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. AT THAT TIME, A
SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS OFFSHORE FLOW PEAKS IN
STRENGTH, WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LIKELY REMAINING
THAT WAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN A
DECREASE IN SANTA ANA WINDS FRIDAY MORNING BUT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
 COOL SLIGHTLY STARTING SUNDAY, HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL  AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

ECC031-011630-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES  COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH  FRIDAY
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH  SATURDAY
BRINGING A LONG DURATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  AND VERY
LOW HUMIDITIES. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL  STRENGTHEN OVER
NEVADA WEDNESDAY, PEAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND  THURSDAY. THIS WILL
SET UP A PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS  VENTURA AND LOS
ANGELES COUNTIES, THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR  WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NORTHEAST  WINDS WILL
DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE  MOUNTAINS AND BY
LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS.  THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND DURING THE INITIAL ONSET OF  NORTHEAST WINDS
SUCH THAT HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL  LEVELS AT LEAST
UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. AT THAT  TIME, A
SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS OFFSHORE FLOW PEAKS  IN
STRENGTH, WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LIKELY REMAINING THAT
WAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN A
DECREASE IN SANTA ANA WINDS FRIDAY MORNING BUT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
 COOL SLIGHTLY STARTING SUNDAY, HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL  AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

ECC024-011630-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY
BRINGING A LONG DURATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
VERY LOW HUMIDITIES. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN
OVER NEVADA WEDNESDAY, PEAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS
WILL SET UP A PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES, THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
AND BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS. THERE WILL
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND DURING THE INITIAL ONSET OF NORTHEAST
WINDS SUCH THAT HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AT
LEAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. AT THAT TIME, A
SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS OFFSHORE FLOW PEAKS IN
STRENGTH, WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LIKELY REMAINING
THAT WAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN A
DECREASE IN SANTA ANA WINDS FRIDAY MORNING BUT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
 COOL SLIGHTLY STARTING SUNDAY, HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL  AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

ECC032-011630-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES  COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH  FRIDAY
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH  SATURDAY
BRINGING A LONG DURATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  AND VERY
LOW HUMIDITIES. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL  STRENGTHEN OVER
NEVADA WEDNESDAY, PEAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND  THURSDAY. THIS WILL
SET UP A PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS  VENTURA AND LOS
ANGELES COUNTIES, THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR  WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NORTHEAST  WINDS WILL
DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE  MOUNTAINS AND BY
LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS.  THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND DURING THE INITIAL ONSET OF  NORTHEAST WINDS
SUCH THAT HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL  LEVELS AT LEAST
UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. AT THAT  TIME, A
SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS OFFSHORE FLOW PEAKS  IN
STRENGTH, WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LIKELY REMAINING THAT
WAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN A
DECREASE IN SANTA ANA WINDS FRIDAY MORNING BUT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
 COOL SLIGHTLY STARTING SUNDAY, HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL  AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

ECC030-011630-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
319 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES  COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH  FRIDAY
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH  SATURDAY
BRINGING A LONG DURATION OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  AND VERY
LOW HUMIDITIES. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL  STRENGTHEN OVER
NEVADA WEDNESDAY, PEAKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND  THURSDAY. THIS WILL
SET UP A PERIOD OF GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS  VENTURA AND LOS
ANGELES COUNTIES, THE STRONGEST OF WHICH WILL OCCUR  WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. HOWEVER, NORTHEAST  WINDS WILL
DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE  MOUNTAINS AND BY
LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS.  THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND DURING THE INITIAL ONSET OF  NORTHEAST WINDS
SUCH THAT HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL  LEVELS AT LEAST
UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. AT THAT  TIME, A
SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS OFFSHORE FLOW PEAKS  IN
STRENGTH, WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT IN SOME
AREAS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LIKELY REMAINING THAT
WAY THROUGH SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN A
DECREASE IN SANTA ANA WINDS FRIDAY MORNING BUT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL EXPECTED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
 COOL SLIGHTLY STARTING SUNDAY, HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL  AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.


$$






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