Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 121121
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR 05-B...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
621 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS MORNING...
LIFTING NORTHEAST OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND...RESULTING IN THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR
THIS YEAR. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 1300-2500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  91  94  94  94
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................29  31  31  32  32  31
RH..................42  39  43  47  51  56
20 FT WIND DIR......S   SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   5   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5           10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   9   9   9
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.................14  18  18  17  16  6
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  20  20  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  18  17  16  14  11

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 17
                    TO 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 29 TO 33 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............87  87  87  66  66  66  45  45  45  38  38  38
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........SN  SN  SN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................30  30  29  27  26  26  25  25  24  23  23  22
RH..................60  63  69  74  78  78  81  81  77  74  68  62
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   7   9   10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5       10  10  15  15  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   9   8   6   7   12  17  24  29  31  33  33
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   1
ADI.................6   4   3   3   3   8   12  16  25  21  22  70
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   4   3   2   1   5   11  19  31  44  56  68



FORECASTER...RUSNAK
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160212.05B__.01/AKQ



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