Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 211110
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA 6 7...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
710 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY WHILE SLOWLY TRACKING NORTHEAST
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............72  72  47  47  47  60  60  60  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  55  59  64  66  69  70  71  70  69  68
RH..................74  74  66  58  56  49  45  42  44  47  49
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.8
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   6   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   5   13  23  25  26  25  22  20  18
LVORI...............4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................2   2   3   17  28  30  22  21  19  18  17
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84  84  84  86  86  86  87  87  87  91  91  91
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  51  51  51
RH..................52  60  69  75  77  80  80  83  86  89  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   9   8   7   6   6   7   7   8   9   10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  9   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   5   5
ADI.................15  12  10  9   5   4   4   4   5   5   6   7
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 24 TO
                    26 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  98  98  98  98  98  90  90  90  82  82  82
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  50  51  53  56  59  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................89  89  86  80  72  67  62  60  60  60  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   9   10  12  13  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  22  24  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   8   14  20  26  28  29  32  36  41  46
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   14  15  16  27  32  33  34  36  40  46  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.WILNA.01/AKQ





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