Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS74 KBMX 171115
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Noyes Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
615 AM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Humidity values will begin to increase today with isolated showers
possible in East Alabama. Better chances of isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms will arrive for Thursday. Conditions
mainly dry out for Thursday, before high rain chances arrive by the
second half of the weekend. Critical fire weather conditions are not
expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-2000 ft AGL increasing to 7400-8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 103 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 91 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 103 in the afternoon decreasing
                    to 95.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........8      15     27     43     62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     78     83     85     86
RH..............71     59     48     43     41
20 ft wind......SE 3   S 6    S 8    S 8    S 8
20 ft wind gust.5      10     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....900    3200   5800   7600   8000
Transport wind..SE 9   S 17   S 21   S 22   S 20
Dispersion idx..4      8      91     107    98
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......5000-6300 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....136 decreasing to 6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........41     39     50     44     43     48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............83     79     72     70     69     67
RH..............48     55     72     80     85     91
20 ft wind......S 6    S 5    SE 5   S 3    S 3    SE 2
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....6300   3400   700    600    700    400
Transport wind..S 20   S 16   S 10   S 10   S 8    S 5
Dispersion idx..136    67     10     7      5      2
LVORI...........1      1      4      4      5      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 7300-8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph increasing to 14 to 17 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 76 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 58 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    49 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........53     63     52     52     57     66
Weather cov.....                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
CWR.............10     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............68     72     80     83     85     86
RH..............90     86     67     56     52     53
20 ft wind......SE 2   S 5    S 6    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 ft wind gust.5      10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1500   3900   6400   8000   8100
Transport wind..S 6    S 10   S 16   S 17   SW 17  S 15
Dispersion idx..3      7      11     79     62     54
LVORI...........6      5      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Holmes
Requested by...Josh O'Connor
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1709619.0/BMX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.